The Houston Astros are set to play their division rival Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. ATTSN Southwest will be airing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 10:07 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Houston (-160) as the favorite over Los Angeles (+150). Gamblers can bet on the game’s total with odds listed at even money (+100) for over 7.5 runs and -120 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Astros -1.5 runs (-110) and Angels 1.5 runs (-110).
The Astros are 26-17 SU and are 22-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 2.9 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the year and 0.8 units ATS. Houston’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Angels, on the other hand, are 25-16 SU and 21-19 ATS. The team’s gained 7.0 units for moneyline bettors and 2.7 units ATS. Los Angeles has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 21-19 so far in 2018. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 14-26-2.
Gerrit Cole will get the start for Houston. The right-handed Cole is 4-1 with a 1.43 ERA and 86 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Los Angeles this year.
The Angels are sending righty Jaime Barria (3-1, 2.45 ERA) to the mound. Barria has 13 strikeouts and seven walks to his credit, as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Barria hasn’t faced the Astros yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
Houston’s pitching staff allowed 2.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.26 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 10.73 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.05, along with a WHIP of 0.95.
The Astros offense has slashed .255/.335/.411 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Shortstop Carlos Correa and right fielder George Springer have led Houston’s offense. Correa is hitting .295/.383/.521 with seven home runs, 29 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Springer has a .295 average with eight homers, 26 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff has given up 4.1 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.98, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.60 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 17 games against AL West opponents, Angels starters have an ERA of 3.44 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.57.
Los Angeles’ offense has produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 6.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .242/.349/.370 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons have led the Angels’ hitters this year. Trout is hitting .310/.448/.641 with 12 home runs, 25 RBIs, 33 runs and eight stolen bases, and Simmons has put up a line of .338/.404/.497 with three homers, 23 RBIs, 26 runs and five steals.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .306/.442/.629, Trout seemed to enjoy hitting right-handed pitchers at home last year, slashing .352/.468/.753 over 203 such plate appearances.
The Astros have lost 0.8 units and are 14-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to 17 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 6.6 units and are 17-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 17 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under.
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Houston has posted 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 17.0 over its last five.
Both teams have hit 13 home runs over their last 10 outings.
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