The Houston Astros are ready to take on the Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre. ATTSN Southwest will be airing this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 4:07 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays Odds
The Astros are 100-57 SU and are 81-75 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot this year, losing 3.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.8 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 71-87 SU and 69-88 ATS. They’ve lost 8.8 units for moneyline bettors and 30.0 units ATS. Toronto has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Blue Jays games have an over/under record of 79-69-9 in 2018. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 70-78-8.
Right-hander Chris Devenski will get the nod for Houston. Devenski is 2-2 with a 4.12 ERA and 48 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA against Toronto this year.
The Blue Jays are turning to righty Sean Reid-Foley (2-4, 5.40 ERA), who has 37 strikeouts and 20 walks as well as a 1.67 WHIP. Reid-Foley has yet to face the Astros this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 5.10 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.47 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.
The Toronto offense is putting up 4.4 runs per outing, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has hit .255/.301/.418 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Blue Jays’ offense has been led by outfielder Kevin Pillar and first baseman Justin Smoak. Pillar is slashing .249/.279/.422 with 15 home runs, 58 RBIs, 63 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Smoak’s line is .244/.353/.461 with 25 homers, 77 RBIs and 67 runs.
In the other dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.18 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.38 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.02, along with a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.67.
Astros hitters have slashed .257/.333/.428 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).
Third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve have led Houston’s offense. Bregman is slashing .289/.395/.538 with 31 home runs, 103 RBIs and 104 runs scored, while Altuve (.314/.385/.451) is up to 13 homers, 61 RBIs, 84 runs and 17 stolen bases.
The Astros have gained 3.8 units and are 52-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 43 of those games, as opposed to 48 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 11.6 units and are 48-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 55 of those games, as opposed to 46 which went under the total.
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Houston has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Toronto has 15 XBH over its last five.
The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games SU.
Houston fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 11 errors for Toronto over its last 10.
The Astros have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
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