The Houston Astros are set to square off against the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. This AL showdown will get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to ATTSN Southwest to catch the action.
Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Odds
Vegas has listed Detroit (+225) as the underdog to Houston (-250). Bettors can gamble on the game’s total with odds sitting at even money (+100) for over 8.5 runs and -120 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -160 for the Astros -1.5 runs and +140 for the Tigers +1.5.
The Astros have gone 91-54 SU this year and are 75-69 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.0 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.1 units ATS. The Tigers, on the other hand, are 59-86 SU and 75-69 ATS. They’ve lost 4.4 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units ATS.
Tigers games have an over/under record of 60-77-7 in 2018. Houston has also been a good under bet with a total record of 63-74-7.
The right-handed Gerrit Cole will get the nod for the visiting Astros. Cole is 13-5 with a 2.86 ERA and 251 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.59 ERA against Detroit this year.
The Tigers are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Daniel Norris (0-3, 5.47 ERA), who’s got 32 strikeouts and 11 walks, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Norris hasn’t faced the Astros yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 1.42 ERA and five strikeouts across 6.1 innings).
Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.21 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.30 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.88, along with a WHIP of 1.13 and a K-per-9 of 10.81.
The Astros offense has slashed .256/.332/.431 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).
Houston’s hitters have been paced by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve, who collectively have swatted 42 home runs. Bregman is hitting .295/.398/.555 with 30 home runs, 97 RBIs and 99 runs scored. Altuve (.318/.382/.458) is up to 12 homers, 54 RBIs, 74 runs and 15 steals.
For the home team, Detroit’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have a 4.46 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.41 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.0 K/9.
The Detroit offense has put up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .210/.303/.306 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and shortstop Jose Iglesias have paced the Tigers’ hitters this year. Castellanos is hitting .294/.351/.488 with 20 home runs, 79 RBIs and 77 runs scored, and the line for Iglesias stands at .269/.310/.389 with five homers, 48 RBIs, 43 runs and 15 stolen bases.
The Astros have lost 6.7 units and are 27-28 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 25 of those games, as opposed to 28 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Tigers have lost 12.3 units and are 53-55 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 61 that went under.
Houston Astros at Detroit Tigers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in just two of Detroit’s last seven games.
The Astros have won nine of their last 10 games SU.
Detroit has recorded 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.6 over its last five.
The Astros have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Tigers have hit 11 over their last 10.
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