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Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Free Pick 04/17/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Mariners will face off against the Houston Astros at Safeco Field. ATTSN Southwest will broadcast the matchup and the game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Houston (-165) is favored over Seattle (+155) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s current runline odds stand at -115 for betting the Astros -1.5 runs and -105 for the Mariners +1.5.

The Astros have gone 10-7 SU this year and are 7-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 5.0 units ATS. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 9-5 SU and 11-3 ATS. They’ve gained 5.3 units for moneyline bettors and 7.7 units ATS.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 9-5 so far in 2018. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 5-12.

Lance McCullers Jr. is getting the start for the Stros. The right-handed McCullers Jr. is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 23 strikeouts. He has yet to face Seattle this year, but he did make four starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 2-0 record with a 3.86 ERA and 24 strikeouts.

The Mariners will send lefty Ariel Miranda (0-0, ERA) to the mound. Miranda has zero strikeouts and zero walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of . Miranda did not record a start against the Astros in 2017.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.18, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 3.78 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In four divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.15 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.14.

The Seattle offense has put up 4.6 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .255/.309/.467 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Robinson Cano has helped lead the Mariners’ offense this year with 15 hits, four RBIs and 12 runs scored. Cano performed well against righty pitching at home last year, slashing .321/.393/.542 in 214 such plate appearances (his total season line was .280/.338/.453).

For the visitors, Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.0 runs per game and its starters own a 2.63 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 12.01 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.88, along with a WHIP of 1.12 and a K-per-9 of 9.72.

Astros hitters have slashed .233/.321/.362 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Houston’s offense has been led by Josh Reddick. Reddick is slashing .300/.429/.550 with 12 hits, seven RBIs and eight runs scored.

The Mariners just took the previous game in this series by doubling up the Astros 2-1.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in four of Seattle’s last seven games.

The Astros have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

The Houston defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to three errors for Seattle over its last five.

The Astros have lost five of their last six games SU while the Mariners have won five of their last six SU.

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