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Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 09/29/18

Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

The Houston Astros are set to face off against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in Game 1 of their doubleheader. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising this AL showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Vegas has listed Houston (-260) as the favorite over Baltimore (+230). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Astros -1.5 runs (-165) and Orioles +1.5 runs (+145).

The Orioles are 46-113 straight up (SU) and 65-93 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 52.6 units for moneyline bettors and 40.8 units (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Astros have gone 101-58 SU this year and are 82-76 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 3.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.8 units ATS. Houston’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 72-81-5 in 2018. Houston has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 70-80-8.

Justin Verlander will get the start for the visiting Astros. The right-handed Verlander is 16-9 with a 2.60 ERA and 280 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are handing the ball to righty Dylan Bundy (8-16, 5.49 ERA), who has 177 strikeouts and 53 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.42. Bundy is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Houston this year.

Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.19 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 10.35 K/9. The bullpen has managed a solid ERA of just 2.98, along with a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.64.

Astros hitters have slashed .256/.332/.426 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve continue to lead Houston’s offense. Bregman is slashing .289/.395/.537 with 31 home runs, 103 RBIs and 104 runs scored, while Altuve is hitting .314 with 13 homers, 61 RBIs, 84 runs and 17 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 5.53 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.82 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.1 K/9.

Baltimore’s offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .251/.316/.433 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini. Jones is hitting .281/.313/.420 with 15 home runs, 63 RBIs and 54 runs scored, while Mancini’s line is .242/.300/.419 with 24 homers, 57 RBIs and 68 runs.

The Astros have gained 3.7 units and are 53-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 43 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 49.5 units and are 40-65 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 47 of those games, compared to 54 which went under the total.

Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in three of Houston’s last seven outings.

The Astros have won six of their last seven games SU.

Baltimore has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.

Each team has hit 10 home runs over its last 10 outings.

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Written by GMS Previews

Houston Astros at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick 09/29/18

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