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Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Free Preview 08/04/18

Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will do battle against the Houston Astros at Dodger Stadium. ATTSN Southwest is in line to televise this interleague matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET.

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Dodgers Odds

Los Angeles (-115) is favored against Houston (+105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 7.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Astros +1.5 runs (-200) and Dodgers -1.5 runs (+170).

The Dodgers are 61-49 straight up (SU) and 50-60 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 16.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.8 units (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Astros have gone 69-41 SU this year and are 55-55 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 6.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Dodgers games have an over/under record of 55-52-3 in 2018. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 49-55-6.

The right-handed Lance McCullers Jr. will get the nod for the visiting Stros. McCullers Jr. (10-6, 4.06 ERA) has racked up 133 strikeouts in 122 innings so far. He has yet to face the Dodgers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Dodgers will put the ball in the right hand of Kenta Maeda (7-6, 3.48 ERA, 1.24 WHIP), who’s got 119 strikeouts and 35 walks. Maeda did not record a start against the Astros in 2017.

As a unit, Los Angeles’ pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.32 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.75 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.5 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense is putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .224/.316/.485 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Dodgers’ offense has been led by outfielders Chris Taylor and Matt Kemp. Taylor is slashing .254/.330/.449 with 12 home runs, 50 RBIs and 64 runs scored, and Kemp is hitting .296 with 17 homers, 64 RBIs and 50 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.04 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.36 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.16, along with a K-per-9 of 10.81.

The Astros offense has slashed .258/.334/.430 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Houston’s offensive production has been powered by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman, who’ve collectively belted 31 home runs. Altuve is slashing .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Bregman (.281/.382/.530) is up to 22 homers, 71 RBIs and 73 runs scored.

The Astros have gained 4.3 units and are 37-31 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Dodgers have lost 11.4 units and are 32-39 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 44 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under.

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Dodgers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Dodgers, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in three of Houston’s last seven games.

The Astros have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.

Los Angeles has averaged 21.0 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 20.8 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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