The Houston Astros will be taking on their divisional rival Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will be televising the action.
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Odds
Vegas is listing Houston (-155) as the favorite over Seattle (+145). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -130 for over 7.5 runs and +110 for under 7.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Astros -1.5 runs (-110) and Mariners 1.5 runs (-110).
The Astros are 11-7 SU and are 7-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.3 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 5.0 units ATS. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 9-6 SU and 11-3 ATS. The team has gained 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units ATS.
Mariners games have a 9-5 over/under record so far in 2018. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 5-12.
The right-handed Gerrit Cole is projected to start for the visiting Astros. Cole is 1-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 36 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Mariners will send righty Mike Leake (2-0, 3.50 ERA) to the mound. Leake has eight strikeouts and nine walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.33. Leake did not record a start against the Astros in 2017.
Houston’s pitching staff allowed 2.9 runs per game and its starters own a 2.54 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 12.15 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.77, along with a WHIP of 1.07 and a K/9 of 9.87.
Astros hitters have slashed .235/.324/.363 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Outfielder Josh Reddick and catcher Brian McCann have led Houston’s offense. Reddick is hitting .273/.396/.500 with 12 hits, eight RBIs and eight runs scored, while McCann is hitting .333 with 11 hits, three RBIs and six runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .269/.348/.522 across 155 plate appearances, McCann seemed to enjoy hitting right-handed pitchers on the road last season (his overall season line was .241/.323/.436).
For the home team, Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.96 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.00 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In five games against divisional opponents, Mariners starters have an ERA of 3.71 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.93.
Seattle’s offense has put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .239/.283/.448 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mariners’ offense has been led by second baseman Robinson Cano and outfielder Mitch Haniger. Cano is slashing .333/.484/.479 with 16 hits, five RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Haniger’s line is .255/.361/.510 with four homers, 15 RBIs and seven runs.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.338/.453, Cano seemed to enjoy hitting right-handed pitching at home in 2017, slashing .321/.393/.542 over 214 such plate appearances.
The Astros have lost 4.8 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 2.1 units and are 6-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to two which went under the total.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in three of Seattle’s last seven games.
Houston has posted 17.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 15.2 over its last five.
The Astros have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
+++++
