The Houston Astros will be facing off against their divisional foe Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. ATTSN Southwest will be televising the matchup and the game gets underway at 3:40 p.m. ET.
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Odds
Oddsmakers have listed Seattle (+165) as the underdog to Houston (-175). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -115 for over 9 runs and -105 for under 9. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -120 for the Astros -1.5 runs and +100 for the Mariners +1.5.
The Astros have gone 12-7 SU this year and are 8-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.4 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the year and 4.0 units ATS. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 9-7 SU and 11-4 ATS. The team’s gained 4.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.7 units ATS.
Seattle games have a 9-6 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Astros have been a decent under bet with a total record of 5-13.
Charlie Morton will get the nod for the visiting Astros. The right-handed Morton is 2-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face Seattle this year, but he made four starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-2 record with a 3.80 ERA and 22 strikeouts.
The Mariners are sending lefty Marco Gonzales (1-1, 8.25 ERA) to the mound. Gonzales has 11 punchouts and two walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.75. Gonzales did not record a start against the Astros in 2017.
Houston’s pitching staff allowed 2.8 runs per game and its starters own a 2.39 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 11.80 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 2.67, along with a K/9 of 10.00.
The Astros offense has slashed .239/.325/.370 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Houston’s offense has been powered by catcher Brian McCann and shortstop Carlos Correa. McCann is slashing .351/.467/.486 with 13 hits, four RBIs and seven runs scored, while Correa is hitting .297 with 19 hits, two homers, 13 RBIs and 12 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .407/.458/.630 across 59 plate appearances, Correa performed well against lefty pitching on the road in 2017 (his total season line was .315/.391/.550).
In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have yielded 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.14, a WHIP of 1.40 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In six games against AL West opponents, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.80.
The Seattle hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .208/.250/.371 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Mariners’ batters have been led by second baseman Robinson Cano and right fielder Mitch Haniger. Cano is slashing .327/.470/.462 with 17 hits, six RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Haniger’s line is .259/.359/.500 with four homers, 15 RBIs and seven runs scored.
Compared to his overall season slash line of .280/.338/.453, Cano performed well against righty pitching at home last season, slashing .321/.393/.542 over 214 such plate appearances.
The Astros have gained 1.4 units and are 4-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in three of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 1.1 units and are 6-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in seven of those games, compared to three that’ve cashed the under.
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The over has cashed in just two of Houston’s last seven games.
The Mariners have lost three of their last four games SU.
Seattle has posted 19.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.2 over its last five.
The Astros have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 13 over their last 10.
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