The Houston Astros are paying a visit to Safeco Field to face off against their AL West nemesis Seattle Mariners. The matchup will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to ATTSN Southwest to catch the action.
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Odds
Houston (-170) is coming into this one as the favorite against Seattle (+160) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at eight runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for the over and -110 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at -120 for the Astros -1.5 runs and +100 for the Mariners +1.5.
The Mariners are 71-54 straight up (SU) and 62-62 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 4.5 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Astros are 75-49 SU and have gone 61-62 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 13.8 units for moneyline bettors and 7.2 units ATS. Houston has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Seattle games have had an over/under record of 60-62-2 in 2018. Houston has been a decent under bet with a total record of 52-64-7.
The right-handed Gerrit Cole is getting the start for Houston. Cole is 11-5 with a 2.71 ERA and 219 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 18 strikeouts and a 2.57 ERA against Seattle this year (three starts).
The Mariners will put the ball in the right hand of Felix Hernandez (8-11, 5.62 ERA, 1.43 WHIP), who has 101 strikeouts and 48 walks this season. Hernandez hasn’t faced the Astros yet this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 4.09 ERA and 12 strikeouts.
Houston’s pitching staff allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.11 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.37 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.07, along with a WHIP of 1.10.
The Astros offense has slashed .254/.330/.429 on its way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman have paced Houston’s hitters. Altuve is hitting .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Bregman (.280/.384/.522) has produced 24 homers, 77 RBIs and 80 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.27, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.05 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 52 divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.30.
The Seattle hitters have produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .203/.250/.305 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Mariners’ batters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Mitch Haniger. Segura is hitting .314/.343/.437 with nine home runs, 56 RBIs, 78 runs and 17 stolen bases, and Haniger’s line is .276/.363/.471 with 19 homers, 78 RBIs and 62 runs.
The Astros have lost 2.6 units and are 40-36 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 39 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 17.0 units and are 41-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 44 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve gone under.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Astros, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Houston has logged 21 extra-base hits over its last five games. Seattle has 10 XBH over its last five.
Seattle has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.6 over its last five.
The Astros have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
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