The Houston Astros will make a road trip to Seattle to play their AL West foe Mariners at Safeco Field. The game gets underway 10:10 p.m. ET and ATTSN Southwest will broadcast the action.
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Seattle (+110) as the underdog to Houston (-120). The total stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Astros -1.5 runs (+125) and Mariners +1.5 runs (-145).
The Mariners are 61-43 straight up (SU) and 52-52 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 13.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 4.0 units (ATS). The Astros are 67-39 SU and have gone 53-53 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 5.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS.
Seattle games have an over/under record of 49-53-2 in 2018. Houston has an over/under record of 48-52-6.
The right-handed Gerrit Cole will get the nod for Houston. Cole is 10-2 with a 2.54 ERA and 186 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Seattle this year.
The Mariners will turn to lefty James Paxton (8-4, 3.70 ERA) to the mound. Paxton has 155 strikeouts and 33 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.09. Paxton is 2-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.32 ERA over two starts against Houston this year.
Seattle’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.13, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 38 divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.53.
Seattle’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .244/.305/.431 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Mariners’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is hitting .317/.347/.446 with seven home runs, 49 RBIs, 68 runs and 15 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line sits at .290/.309/.354 with 113 hits, 22 RBIs, 47 runs and 24 stolen bases.
In the other dugout, Houston’s pitchers have allowed 3.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.02 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 10.36 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.27, along with a K-per-9 of 10.75.
The Astros offense has slashed .257/.334/.428 on its way to 5.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Houston’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Jose Altuve and third baseman Alex Bregman, who collectively have launched 31 home runs. Altuve is slashing .329/.392/.464 with nine home runs, 46 RBIs, 64 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Bregman (.280/.386/.535) is up to 22 homers, 70 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
The Astros have lost 8.6 units and are 17-22 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 18.6 units and are 35-35 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 32 that went under the total.
Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in just two of Seattle’s last seven games.
The Astros have lost four of their last five games SU while the Mariners have dropped three of their last four.
Houston has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.4 over its last five.
The Astros have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit nine over their last 10.
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