The Golden State Warriors (2-1) clash against the Houston Rockets (1-2) at ORACLE Arena in game four of the Western Conference Finals. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 22, 2018, and will air on TNT.
Golden State is an 8.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 224 points.
Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
Curry scored a game-high 35 points in game three, in which the Warriors beat the Rockets 126-85, covering as 7.5-point favorites. He also had six rebounds. The game finished with a total of 211 points, which was 15 points below the projected point total of 226 points. The Warriors had a much better turnover percentage (7.4 vs. 18.0) and had a better free throw rate (0.185 vs. 0.123).
This battle figures to be a shootout as two of the NBA’s best offenses battle. Golden State ranks second with 112.6 points per 100 possessions and Houston is first (112.7). Moreover, the Rockets rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.9 percent), while the Warriors rank 23rd in opponents’ turnover percentage (13.1 percent).
Houston heads into the contest with records of 74-21 straight up (SU) and 48-45-2 against the spread (ATS). Of the Rockets’ 95 games, 53 have finished under the total.
Golden State is 68-27 SU, but they are just 40-52-3 ATS. Similarly to Houston, a little over half of Warriors games have finished under the O/U total.
The Warriors are 14-10 with 14 unders, nine overs and one push in the playoffs, while the Rockets are 1-4 ATS with four unders and one over
Chris Paul has averaged 24.4 points, 8.2 rebounds, 6.2 assists and 1.6 steals over the last five games for Houston.
Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Houston is 27-18-1 ATS with 28 unders, 17 overs and 1 push.
At home, Golden State is 19-27-2 ATS with 24 unders, 23 overs and 1 push.
Golden State is 20-5 when they allow less than 100 points, while Houston is 36-3.
The Rockets are 71-15 when they reach 100 points, while the Warriors are 64-17.
Golden State ranks first in assists per game (29.0) while Houston ranks 27th (21.4).
The Rockets rank fifth in steals per game (8.4) while the Warriors rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
Houston ranks sixth in second chance points allowed per game (11.6) while Golden State ranks 25th (13.4).
The Warriors rank first in fast break points per game (19.0) while the Rockets rank 17th (11.2).
Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (41.9) while Golden State ranks 16th (29.1).
The Rockets rank 11th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.4) while the Warriors rank 26th (18.0).
Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (7.2) while Houston ranks 13th (4.9).
The Warriors rank 17th in points in the paint per game (43.6) while the Rockets rank 28th (41.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Houston is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Rockets have been outscored by an average of 1.8 points in their last five games. For the season, Houston has defeated opponents by an average of 8.0 points.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 116.2 points per game (3.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.8 points per game (4.0 below their season average).
xxxxx
