The Denver Nuggets (9-4) go head-to-head with the Houston Rockets (5-7) at the Pepsi Center. The game will air on Altitude Sports & Entertainmnt at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 13, 2018.
Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets Free Prediction
In the Rockets’ last matchup, they comfortably covered the 2.5-point spread against the Indiana Pacers, 115-103. The combined points for the game (218) were over the projected point total of 210. The Rockets held the Pacers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.3 (below their season average of 20.5) and had a free throw rate of 0.311 (above their season average of 0.174). With 40 points on 9-for-20 shooting, James Harden was the game’s leading scorer.
The Nuggets lost to the Milwaukee Bucks in their last outing, 121-114, despite being 3.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (235) finished over the projected point total of 224.5. Milwaukee’s 0.673 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Denver, who had a rate of 0.562. The Bucks’ mark was above their season average of 0.558. With 25 points on 6-for-14 shooting, Paul Millsap led Denver in scoring.
After the Rockets won all three meetings against the Nuggets last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, Houston won 119-114. The Rockets made 26 of their 32 free throws (81.3 percent) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (31.4 vs. 27.9).
Houston comes into the contest with records of 5-7 straight up (SU) and 4-8 against the spread (ATS). It’s tough to find a trend for Rockets games in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Denver owns records of 9-4 SU and 7-6 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Nuggets are involved, as eight of their 12 games have ended under the O/U total.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the NBA’s slowest-paced teams square off. Denver ranks 25th in possessions per game (101.2) and Houston is 29th (99.2).
Houston Rockets vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Rockets, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Houston is 3-4 ATS on the road with 4 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Denver is 5-3 ATS with 4 overs and 4 unders.
Houston is 2-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Denver is 5-1.
When reaching the century mark, the Rockets are 3-3 and the Nuggets are 9-3.
Houston ranks first in three pointers attempted per game (42.3) while Denver ranks 23rd (28.8).
The Nuggets rank sixth in points in the paint per game (53.4) while the Rockets rank 26th (40.3).
Denver ranks 11th in assists per game (24.5) while Houston ranks 29th (19.8).
The Nuggets rank fourth in second chance points per game (16.5) while the Rockets rank 20th (11.9).
Houston blocks 6.0 opponent shots per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Denver ranks 22nd in blocks allowed per game (6.3).
The Rockets average 8.5 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Nuggets rank 18th in steals allowed per game (8.0).
Denver ranks first in rebounds allowed per game (40.7) while Houston ranks 10th (44.7).
The Nuggets average 17.7 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 10th in the NBA. The Rockets rank 12th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.2).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, Houston is 2-3 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Denver is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Rockets’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 4.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Nuggets have scored an average of 105.8 points per game (4.1 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.4 points per game (0.1 below their season average).
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