The Houston Rockets (9-7) will try to lengthen their five-game winning streak against the Detroit Pistons (8-7) at Little Caesars Arena. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 23, 2018, and will air on NBATV.
Houston is a 4.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 218 points.
Houston Rockets at Detroit Pistons ATS Prediction
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Harden scored a game-high 43 points and the Rockets defeated the Pistons 126-124 but did not cover as 8.5-point favorites. He also had 9 assists and 7 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 250 points, which was 35.5 points above the projected point total of 214.5 points. Houston did a fantastic job of getting to and converting from the free throw line (33-36; 91.7 percent). Detroit, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (32.6 vs. 18.5).
Houston holds records of 9-7 straight up (SU) and 7-9 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has been spot on when setting the O/U total of Rockets games, with an even split between overs and unders.
Meanwhile, Detroit is 8-7 SU and 8-7 ATS. Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Pistons games, with 8 overs compared to 7 unders.
It will be a showdown of conflicting styles as the fast-breaking Pistons will look to push the more grind-it-out Rockets. The Pistons rank eighth in possessions per game while the Rockets are 29th.
Houston Rockets vs. Detroit Pistons Free Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Rockets, ATS Winner – Pistons, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Houston is 4-4 ATS on the road with 5 unders and 3 overs.
Detroit is 2-5 ATS at home with 4 unders and 3 overs.
Houston is 4-2 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Detroit is 1-0.
The Pistons are 8-5 when they score over 100 points, while the Rockets are 7-3.
Houston ranks fourth in blocks per game (6.2) while Detroit ranks 28th (3.8).
The Pistons rank fourth in second chance points per game (16.2) while the Rockets rank 24th (11.9).
Detroit ranks seventh in rebounds per game (47.7) while Houston ranks 27th (40.8).
The Pistons rank ninth in points in the paint per game (48.7) while the Rockets rank 26th (41.9).
Houston ranks ninth in steals per game (8.4) while Detroit ranks 25th (6.7).
The Pistons rank 4 in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.133333333333333) while the Rockets rank 17 (17.5).
Houston ranks 3 in assists allowed per game (21.4375) while Detroit ranks 12 (23.4).
The Rockets rank 19 in fast break points per game (11.625) while the Pistons rank 26 (10.533333333333333).
Both of these teams like to shoot the long ball. Houston leads the NBA with 41.9375 three pointers per game while Detroit is 5 with 35 threes per game.
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five games, Houston is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Detroit is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Rockets have outscored opponents by an average of 13.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Houston has been defeated by an average of 0.2 points.
During their last five games, the Pistons have scored an average of 114.0 points per game (3.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 110.8 points per game (0.3 below their season average).
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