The Colts (-3) are set to welcome their AFC South nemesis Houston Texans to Indianapolis. CBS will televise the action and this early afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview
The Texans head into this Sunday AFC matchup as the dog here and are currently getting 3 points. The Texans are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Colts are -140. Some good live betting opportunities might exist during this showdown, and oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 47.5 points.
With the line opening at -2 and the total initially placed at 47, oddsmakers have swayed this game’s outlook slightly.
The underwhelming Texans are 0-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 5.1 units so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 1-2. The Colts have lost 0.2 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-1 ATS and also have an O/U record of 1-2.
The Texans have gone 0-3 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against AFC South opponents. The Colts are 1-2 SU overall and 0-0 SU against divisional foes.
The Texans are still seeking their first win after a 27-22 loss to the Giants last week where Deshaun Watson completed 24 passes for 385 yards, two scores and one interception. Lamar Miller (10 rushing yards on 10 attempts) mounted the running attack. DeAndre Hopkins (six receptions, 86 yards) and Miller (five catches, 41 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Indianapolis just suffered a 20-16 defeat to Philadelphia a week ago. Andrew Luck completed 25-of-40 passes for 164 yards and one touchdown. Jordan Wilkins (19 yards on six rush attempts) handled the running game while T.Y. Hilton (five receptions, 50 yards) and Eric Ebron (five catches, 33 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.
Houston has run the ball on 42.7 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Indianapolis has a rush percentage of 33.5 percent. The Texans have run for 125 yards per game (including 148 per game against South opponents) and have one touchdown on the ground this year. The Colts are averaging 82 rush yards per game and have only one rushing TD.
It seems like the Texans could have an advantage when it comes to effectiveness in the ground game, since their running backs has logged 4.7 yards per carry while their defense is allowing a YPC of 3.7 to opponents. The Colts have registered 3.9 yards per carry and allowed a YPC of 4.1 to opponents.
The Texans offensive scheme has averaged 290 yards through the air overall (310 per game against conference opposition) and has five passing score so far. The Colts have produced 221 pass yards per contest and also have five total pass TD.
On the defensive side of the ball, Houston has allowed 112 rush yards and 255 pass yards per game. The Indianapolis defense has given up 263.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 106.0 yards per game on the ground. The Colts are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.74 to opponents, while the Texans have given up an 8.35 ANY/A.
Offensively, Watson is up to 561 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 41-of-74 attempts with three scores through the air and two interceptions. Watson’s got a 6.20 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 8.19 over the last two outings.
On the other sideline, Andrew Luck has completed 64-of-93 passes for 483 yards, three TDs and one INT. Luck’s ANY/A sits at an ultra-pedestrian 4.75 for the year and 3.89 over his past two outings.
Free NFL Pick: Houston Texans vs. Indianapolis Colts
SU Winner – Texans, ATS Winner – Texans, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
Houston was favored by 7 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 44. The over cashed and Houston failed to cover in the 27-22 loss to the Giants.
Houston has averaged 4.6 yards per carry over its past two outings.
Indianapolis has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last two.
The Indianapolis offense has lost one fumble this season while Houston has let two get away.
In its last three games, Houston is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Indianapolis was favored by 7 points in its last matchup and the O/U was 45. The under cashed and Indianapolis failed to cover in the 20-16 loss to Philadelphia.
Over its last three matches, Indianapolis is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Each team has produced zero pass plays of 40+ yards. The Texans have have made five pass plays of 30+ yards while the Colts have accounted for zero such plays.
The Houston defense has allowed one pass play of 40 or more yards, while Indianapolis has given up zero such plays.
Both teams have produced one rushing play of 20 yards or more. The Houston offense has recorded 13 running plays of 10+ yards while Indianapolis has accounted for six such plays.
The Texans defense has allowed one rushing play of 20+ yards, while the Colts have given up two such runs.
The Indianapolis defense has sacked opposing QBs 10 times this year. Houston has registered seven sacks.
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