A trip to the Eastern Conference Semifinals will be on the line when the Cleveland Cavaliers (3-3) go head-to-head against the Indiana Pacers (3-3) at Quicken Loans Arena in game seven of the First Round of the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The game will air on Fox Sports – Ohio at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 29, 2018.
Cleveland opened as a 6-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 198.5 points.
Indiana Pacers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Prediction
In game six, Oladipo notched a triple-double. He put up 28 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists and the Pacers beat the Cavaliers 121-87, covering as 2-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 208 points, which was 6.5 points above the projected point total of 201.5 points. The Pacers had a much better turnover percentage (7.0 vs. 14.0) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (23.5 vs. 16.3).
The sweet-shooting offense of Cleveland (third in the NBA with an effective field goal percentage 0.544) will clash against the mid-tier defense of Indiana (20th in effective field goal percentage allowed 0.526). The Cavaliers figure to have the edge on that side of the ball. Also, the Pacers rank 25th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.172), while the Cavaliers rank second in opponents’ FTA rate (0.165).
Indiana heads into the game with records of 51-37 straight up (SU) and 51-36-1 against the spread (ATS). Of the Pacers’ 88 games, 53 have finished under the O/U total.
Cleveland has a solid 53-35 SU record, but they struggle covering the spread (33-53-2 ATS). Much like Indiana, a little over half of Cavaliers games have finished under the total.
Indiana Pacers at Cleveland Cavaliers Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Indiana is 26-18 ATS with 27 unders, 16 overs and 1 push.
At home, Cleveland is 13-30-1 ATS with 24 unders, 19 overs and 1 push.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Cleveland is 18-5 and Indiana is 29-5.
When scoring over 100 points, the Cavaliers are 50-18 and the Pacers are 40-17.
Indiana ranks second in steals per game (8.8) while Cleveland ranks 23rd (7.1).
The Cavaliers rank fifth in three pointers attempted per game (32.2) while the Pacers rank 26th (24.6).
Cleveland ranks third in blocks allowed per game (4.1) while Indiana ranks 20th (5.1).
The Pacers rank second in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while the Cavaliers rank 19th (16.2).
Indiana ranks 12th in assists allowed per game (22.8) while Cleveland ranks 28th (25.6).
The Pacers average 44.9 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Cavaliers rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (47.1).
Indiana ranks fifth in fast break points per game (15.0) while Cleveland ranks 14th in fast break points allowed per game (11.7).
The Pacers rank 18th in second chance points per game (12.0) while the Cavaliers rank 26th (11.0).
Indiana ranks 22nd in rebounds per game (42.2) while Cleveland ranks 25th (41.8).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Indiana is 3-1-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Cleveland is 1-3-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 5.2, up from 1.8 for the season.
During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 95.8 points per game (13.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.0 points per game (8.3 below their season average).
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