The Indiana Pacers (43-31) will try to slow down the league’s top scoring team when they take on the Golden State Warriors (54-19) at ORACLE Arena. The game can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 27, 2018.
Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
In the Pacers’ last outing, they beat the Miami Heat, 113-107. The Pacers held the Heat to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.6 (below their season average of 21.6). The Heat had a free throw rate of 0.128 (below their season average of 0.174). Indiana received a boost from Thaddeus Young, who had 22 points, nine rebounds and five steals.
The Warriors lost big to the Utah Jazz in their last outing, 110-91. Utah’s 0.161 free throw rate was their largest strength over Golden State, who had a rate of 0.099. The Jazz’s mark was below their season average of 0.204, while the Warriors’ was below their season average of 0.200. With 17 points on 7-for-15 shooting, Quinn Cook led Golden State in scoring.
This has potential to be a mistake-prone game for the offense of Golden State. Golden State ranks 28th in the league in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.9 percent), while the pesky defense of Indiana forces the second-most turnovers in the league (15.0 percent).
Indiana holds records of 43-31 straight up (SU) and 42-32 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has a tendency to set the total high when the Pacers are involved, as 44 of their 74 games have gone under the projected point total.
Golden State has a superb 54-19 SU record, but they are just 30-40-3 ATS. Just over half of Warriors games have also finished under the O/U total.
Cook has averaged 19.8 points, 3.8 assists and 1.2 steals over the last five games for Golden State.
After the Warriors won both games against the Pacers last season, these teams will go head-to-head for the first time this year. In the most recent matchup, Golden State won 142-106. The Warriors had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (34.0 vs. 19.1) and had a better turnover percentage (8.7 vs. 12.2).
Indiana Pacers at Golden State Warriors Pick
NBA Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Indiana is 19-16 ATS on the road with 21 unders, 13 overs and 1 push.
At home, Golden State is 15-20-2 ATS with 20 unders and 17 overs.
When holding opponents below 100 points, Golden State is 14-4 and Indiana is 25-3.
When scoring above 100 points, the Pacers are 35-15 and the Warriors are 51-12.
Indiana ranks second in steals per game (8.8) while Golden State ranks 27th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
The Pacers rank second in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while the Warriors rank 27th in points off turnovers allowed per game (18.6).
Golden State ranks first in blocks per game (7.7) while Indiana ranks 25th (4.2).
The Warriors rank first in assists per game (29.7) while the Pacers rank 22nd (22.0).
Indiana ranks fifth in fast break points per game (14.7) while Golden State ranks 25th in fast break points allowed per game (13.8).
The Pacers rank 15th in second chance points allowed per game (12.6) while the Warriors rank last (13.9).
Golden State ranks 14th in three pointers attempted per game (29.3) while Indiana ranks 26th (24.5).
The Pacers average 44.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Warriors rank 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (46.8).
Golden State ranks 14th in rebounds per game (43.8) while Indiana ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (42.9).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.0, up from 1.5 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 97.8 points per game (16.6 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.0 points per game (7.2 below their season average).
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