The Los Angeles Lakers (15-29) meet the Indiana Pacers (24-21) at Staples Center. The game can be seen on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana at 10:30 p.m. ET on Friday, January 19, 2018.
Indiana Pacers vs. Los Angeles Lakers ATS Prediction
The Pacers are trying to rebound after their 100-86 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers in their last matchup. Making free throws was one of Portland’s largest advantages. They were 16-16 (100.0 percent), while the Pacers were just 7-13 (53.8 percent). Indiana’s Thaddeus Young put together a good outing, putting up 10 points and 14 rebounds.
The last time the Lakers played, they lost big to the Oklahoma City Thunder, 114-90. Oklahoma City’s rebounding was their biggest strength. The Thunder had 21 offensive rebounds and 54 total rebounds, while the Lakers had six and 30, respectively. With 16 points on 8-for-11 shooting, Julius Randle led Los Angeles in scoring.
Los Angeles could have trouble getting to the foul line in this contest. The Lakers currently rank 23rd in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.179, while Indiana ranks third in FTA rate allowed (0.166).
Indiana holds records of 24-21 straight up (SU) and 25-19 against the spread (ATS). Pacers games have a tendency to go under the projected point total (56.8 percent).
Meanwhile, Los Angeles owns records of 15-29 SU and 21-23 ATS. Contrary to Indiana, Lakers games have a slight tendency to finish over the total (52.3 percent).
After splitting two games last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. The Lakers won the last game 108-95. Los Angeles had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (35.6 vs. 18.6). Indiana, meanwhile, did a fantastic job of converting from the charity stripe (18-25; 72.0 percent).
Indiana Pacers vs. Los Angeles Lakers Odds Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Lakers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Indiana is 12-8 ATS on the road with 10 overs and 10 unders.
At home, Los Angeles is 11-12 ATS with 13 overs and 10 unders.
In games where they allow under 100 points, Los Angeles is 7-3 and Indiana is 14-1.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Lakers are 13-16 and the Pacers are 21-9.
Indiana ranks fifth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while Los Angeles ranks 29th (19.9).
The Lakers rank first in points in the paint per game (53.0) while the Pacers rank 23rd in points allowed in the paint per game (46.3).
Indiana ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (7.0) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd (8.3).
The Pacers average 14.9 fast break points per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Lakers rank 20th in fast break points allowed per game (12.2).
Los Angeles ranks third in rebounds per game (46.3) while Indiana ranks 20th (42.0).
The Lakers average 14.1 second chance points per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. The Pacers rank 20th in second chance points allowed per game (13.0).
Los Angeles averages 23.5 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Indiana ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (23.2).
The Lakers average 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 11th in the league. The Pacers rank 21st in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
Los Angeles ranks 19th in three pointers attempted per game (28.0) while Indiana ranks 25th (24.8).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Indiana is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 3.6, up from 1.0 for the season.
During their last five games, the Lakers have scored an average of 100.6 points per game (5.7 below their season average) and allowed an average of 101.0 points per game (9.5 below their season average).
