The Sacramento Kings (10-11) will have their hands full against the league’s top scoring defense when they square off with the Indiana Pacers (13-9) at Golden 1 Center. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 1, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports Midwest – Indiana.
Indiana Pacers at Sacramento Kings ATS Prediction
In the Pacers’ last matchup, they were beaten by the Los Angeles Lakers, 104-96, and failed to cover as 5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (200) finished well under the projected point total of 221. Los Angeles’ 0.529 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Indiana, who had a rate of 0.430. The Lakers’ mark was below their season average of 0.531, while the Pacers’ was below their season average of 0.536. Domantas Sabonis led Indiana in scoring with 20 points on 6-for-13 shooting.
The Kings lost to the Los Angeles Clippers in their last contest, 133-121. They failed to cover as 2-point underdogs. The game’s total points (254) finished well over the projected point total of 236. Los Angeles launched 28 three pointers, making 12 of them (42.9 percent), while Sacramento was 7-24 (29.2 percent). With 18 points and 10 rebounds, Sacramento’s Marvin Bagley III had a solid performance.
After the Pacers won both matchups against the Kings last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the most recent matchup, Indiana won 106-103. The Pacers made 18 of their 20 free throws (90.0 percent) and had a much better turnover percentage (10.1 vs. 18.0).
Indiana comes into the game with records of 13-9 straight up (SU) and 10-11-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Pacers games, with 12 unders compared to 10 overs.
Meanwhile, Sacramento is 10-11 SU and 12-9 ATS. Games including the Kings have a tendency to go over the projected point total (66.7 percent).
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Sabonis (17 points,11.4 rebounds,4.8 assists) has been stellar for the Pacers while Bagley III (16 points,10.0 rebounds,1.6 blocks) has made great contributions to the Kings.
It will be a showdown of contrasting tempos as the up-and-down Kings will look to push the more grind-it-out Pacers. The Kings currently rank fourth in possessions per game while the Pacers are 27th.
Indiana Pacers at Sacramento Kings Odds Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Kings, ATS Winner – Kings, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Indiana is 5-6-1 ATS on the road with 7 overs and 5 unders.
At home, Sacramento is 6-4 ATS with 6 unders and 4 overs.
In contests where they allow below 100 points, Indiana is 6-1 and Sacramento is 3-0.
The Pacers are 11-4 when they score above 100 points, while the Kings are 9-10.
Indiana ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.3) while Sacramento ranks 28th (52.4).
The Pacers rank fourth in rebounds allowed per game (42.0) while the Kings rank 28th (48.3).
Indiana ranks first in second chance points allowed per game (10.1) while Sacramento ranks 21st (15.0).
The Pacers average 9.3 steals per game, which ranks third in the NBA. The Kings rank 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.2).
Indiana averages 15.1 fast break points per game, which ranks 10th in the league. Sacramento ranks 27th in fast break points given up per game (15.8).
The Pacers rank 2 in points off turnovers per game (20.59090909090909) while the Kings rank 18 in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.476190476190474).
Indiana ranks 18 in three pointers allowed per game (31.59090909090909) while Sacramento ranks 29 (35.666666666666664).
The Pacers average 24.136363636363637 assists per game, which ranks 12 in the league. The Kings rank 20 in assists allowed per game (24.571428571428573).
Indiana ranks 20 in blocks per game (5.136363636363637) while Sacramento ranks 25 (4.428571428571429).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five contests, Indiana is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Sacramento is 3-2 ATS with 5 overs over its last five games.
The Pacers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 0.2, down from 3.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Kings have scored an average of 117.0 points per game (2.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 121.2 points per game (3.7 above their season average).
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