The TCU Horned Frogs (10-1) challenge the Indiana State Sycamores (8-3) in the Diamond Head Classic at Stan Sheriff Center. The game starts at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 25, 2018, and will air on ESPN2.
Indiana State Sycamores vs. TCU Horned Frogs ATS Prediction
In the Sycamores’ last contest, they were defeated by the Ball State Cardinals, 86-69. Ball State’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Indiana State. The Cardinals had a rate of 0.231, while the Sycamores posted a mark of 0.164. Tyreke Key was Indiana State’s leading scorer with 16 points on 6-for-18 shooting.
The Horned Frogs beat the Bakersfield Roadrunners in their last matchup, 66-61. The Horned Frogs had a much better free throw rate (0.340 vs. 0.172) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.0 vs. 13.2). Desmond Bane was TCU’s top scorer with 14 points on 5-for-12 shooting from the field.
TCU figures to have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Horned Frogs currently rank 62nd in offensive efficiency, while the Sycamores rank 186th in defensive efficiency.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Tyreke Key (0 points) has been fantastic for the Sycamores while Alex Robinson (0 points) has contributed greatly to the Horned Frogs.
Indiana State Sycamores vs. TCU Horned Frogs ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – TCU, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
TCU ranks 130th in three pointers attempted per game (22.8) while Indiana State ranks 268th (14.2).
The Horned Frogs rank fourth in assists per game (20.6) while the Sycamores rank 139th (13.2).
TCU averages 4.4 blocks per game, which ranks 46th in the NCAA. Indiana State ranks 114th in blocks allowed per game (4.0).
The Horned Frogs rank 82nd in rebounds per game (38.0) while the Sycamores rank 113th in rebounds allowed per game (34.6).
TCU is 16th in the nation with 4.8 steals allowed per game while Indiana State is 41st with 5.5 steals allowed per game.
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The Sycamores’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.4, up from 3.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Horned Frogs have scored an average of 74.6 points per game (5.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.8 points per game (2.4 above their season average).
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