The No. 19 Iowa Hawkeyes (+3) will meet their in-conference foe Purdue Boilermakers (-3) at Ross-Ade Stadium. The vital daytime game is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ESPN2.
Iowa Hawkeyes at Purdue Boilermakers Betting Preview
In this Saturday Big Ten game, Purdue has been tabbed as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Hawkeyes are also receiving +135 moneyline odds while the Boilermakers are -155. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 50.5 points, and should one team finds paydirt early, it’ll likely create a worthwhile in-game betting opportunity.
The total hasn’t changed after it was set initially at 50.5. Having said that, the opening line was -2 so early action has slanted in favor of the Boilermakers.
The profitable Hawkeyes have gained 4.0 units so far in 2018 and are 6-2 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an O/U mark of 4-3. The Boilermakers are down 4.3 units this season. The team is 5-3 ATS and owns an even O/U record of 4-4.
The Hawkeyes have gone 6-2 straight up (SU), including 3-2 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Boilermakers are 4-4 SU overall and 3-2 SU in conference play.
The Hawkeyes are looking to get back in stride after a 30-24 defeat to Penn State last week. The passing game wasn’t where it needed to be as Nate Stanley completed just 18 passes on 49 attempts for 205 yards and two interceptions. Mekhi Sargent (91 yards on 16 rushes) led the ground attack while Noah Fant (five receptions, 56 yards) and Brandon Smith (four catches, 42 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
One week ago, Michigan State got the victory against this Purdue team by a score of 23-13. David Blough completed 29-of-49 passes for 277 yards and three interceptions. D.J. Knox (51 yards on seven rush attempts) led the running game as Rondale Moore (11 receptions, 74 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Iowa has run the ball on 56.4 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 53.3 percent across possessions in conference play. Purdue has an overall rush percentage of 43.3 percent, and has kept it on the ground 40.5 percent of the time when facing Big 10 opponents. The Hawkeyes have produced 162 rush yards per game (including 154 per game against Big Ten opponents) and have nine touchdowns on the ground this year. The Boilermakers are totaling 162 rushing yards per game (168 in conference) and have 15 total rush TDs.
The Hawkeyes offense has tallied 230 yards/game through the air overall (238 per game against conference opposition) and has 17 passing scores so far. The Boilermakers have recorded 330 pass yards per game (327.4 against Big 10 foes) and have 16 total pass TDs.
Iowa seems to hold an advantage in both areas of the defense. The team’s allowed opponents to run for an average of 84 yards and pass for 181 yards per game. The Purdue defense has allowed 299.1 yards per game to opposing passers and 133.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Hawkeyes are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.93 to opponents, while the Boilermakers have given up a 5.91 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Stanley has amassed 1,678 yards on the year, and has completed 126-of-222 attempts with 15 scores through the air and seven interceptions. Stanley has a 7.01 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 2.14 over the past two outings.
David Blough has completed 157-of-236 passes for 1,972 yards, 10 TDs and five INTs for Purdue. His ANY/A stands at 7.60 for the year and 5.93 over his last two games.
These two squads faced off a year ago with the final outcome being a 24-15 victory for Purdue.
RELATED: Week 10 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Free Pick: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakers
SU Winner – Iowa, ATS Winner – Iowa, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Iowa defensive unit has 25 sacks on the year while Purdue has just 19.
The Purdue offense has lost four fumbles this season while Iowa has lost three.
The Hawkeyes offense has produced eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Boilermakers have put up 12 such plays.
The Iowa defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Purdue has given up six such plays.
The Iowa offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Purdue has created 15 such runs.
The Hawkeyes defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Boilermakers have given up seven such runs.
The O/U for Purdue’s last match was set at 49. The under cashed in the 23-13 defeat to Michigan State.
In its last three contests, Purdue is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
In its last three matches, Iowa is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for Iowa’s last game was set at 52. The over cashed in the team’s 30-24 loss to Penn State.
Iowa has averaged 4.2 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.0 over its last two.
Purdue has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.3 over its last two.
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