The Baltimore Orioles will face off against the Kansas City Royals at Camden Yards. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Kansas City is in line to broadcast this AL matchup.
Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Kansas City (-125) is favored over Baltimore (+115) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 10 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +105 for the under and -125 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Royals -1.5 runs (+120) and Orioles 1.5 runs (-140).
The Orioles are 9-27 SU and 12-23 ATS. The team’s lost 18.8 units for moneyline bettors and 12.8 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Royals have gone 12-24 SU this year and are 16-19 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 9.0 units for moneyline gamblers over the early part of the season and 5.5 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have an over/under record of 16-18-1 thus far in 2018. Kansas City has been a decent under bet with a total record of 13-20-2.
Ian Kennedy will get the start for Kansas City. The right-handed Kennedy is 1-3 with a 2.92 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and two strikeouts across four innings).
The Orioles are going with righty Chris Tillman (1-5, 9.24 ERA), who has 13 strikeouts and 14 walks, as well as a 2.05 WHIP. Tillman only made one start against the Royals in 2017 (0-0, 6.23 ERA and four strikeouts across 4.1 innings).
Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 5.64, a WHIP of 1.58 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.
The Baltimore offense is putting up 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .237/.297/.379 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Orioles’ hitters have been led by Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez. Machado is hitting .343/.428/.606 with nine home runs, 27 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Alvarez is batting .205 with seven homers, 14 RBIs and 13 runs.
Machado performed well against righties at home last year. Across 265 such plate appearances, he slashed .286/.355/.534 (his total season line was .260/.311/.473).
In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.52 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.30 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 6.18, along with a WHIP of 1.33.
Royals hitters have slashed .257/.325/.393 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Kansas City’s offense has been powered by right fielder Jorge Soler and third baseman Mike Moustakas. Soler is hitting .321/.431/.545 with five home runs, 15 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Moustakas (.292/.325/.569) is up to 10 homers, 28 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .103/.235/.138 across 34 plate appearances, Soler didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against right-handed pitchers on the road last year (his total season line was .144/.245/.258).
The Royals have lost 12.2 units and are 8-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 12.6 units and are 8-15 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 14 that went under.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Royals, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Royals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit nine over their last 10.
Kansas City fielders have committed zero errors over their last five games. Compared to six errors for Baltimore over its last five.
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