The Kansas City Royals are set to square off against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Fox Sports Kansas City will televise this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles Odds
Vegas is listing Baltimore (-135) as the favorite over Kansas City (+125). The total is sitting at 9 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -125 and the under for +105. The game’s runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Royals +1.5 runs and +150 for the Orioles -1.5.
The Royals are just 12-23 SU and are 15-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.4 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 6.5 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 8-27 SU and 12-22 ATS. They’ve lost 17.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.8 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.
Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 15-18-1 so far in 2018. The Royals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 12-20-2.
Eric Skoglund will get the start for Kansas City. The left-handed Skoglund is 1-2 with a 6.84 ERA and 25 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Orioles this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Orioles are sending righty Andrew Cashner (1-4, 4.89 ERA) to the mound. Cashner has 37 punchouts and 19 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.53. Cashner only made one start against the Royals in 2017 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and three strikeouts across six innings).
Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.53 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 7.40 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.11, along with a K-per-9 of 6.19.
Royals hitters have slashed .257/.326/.393 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game this season, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).
Outfielder Jorge Soler and third baseman Mike Moustakas have led Kansas City’s hitters. Soler is hitting .324/.436/.546 with five home runs, 15 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Moustakas has a .300 average with 10 homers, 28 RBIs and 23 runs scored.
Putting up a slash line of .103/.235/.138 across 34 plate appearances, Soler did not perform especially well against righties on the road last year (compared to his total season line of .144/.245/.258).
For the home team, Baltimore’s pitching staff has given up 5.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.67, a WHIP of 1.59 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.67 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The Baltimore offense has produced 3.5 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .229/.289/.346 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.
Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez have led the way for the Orioles’ batters so far. Machado is slashing .346/.432/.617 with nine home runs, 27 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Alvarez’s line is .205/.311/.500 with seven homers, 14 RBIs and 13 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado performed well against lefty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .300/.345/.588 over 87 such plate appearances.
The Royals have lost 13.7 units and are 7-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in six of those games, compared to 11 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 4.7 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to four which went under the total.
Kansas City Royals vs. Baltimore Orioles Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Royals have won four of their last five games SU while the Orioles have lost eight of their last nine SU.
Kansas City has posted 27.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 27.4 over its last five.
The Royals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
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