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Kansas City Royals at Seattle Mariners Matchup 06/30/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals will be squaring off against the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. This AL showdown will get going at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports Kansas City to catch the action.

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Vegas is listing Kansas City (+187) as the underdog to Seattle (-205). The total sits at 8 runs and bettors can take the over for even money (+100) and the under for -120. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at -115 for picking the Royals +1.5 runs and -105 for the Mariners -1.5.

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The Mariners are 52-31 straight up (SU) and 42-40 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 18.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 0.4 units (ATS). The Royals have gone 25-56 SU this year and are 37-43 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 19.7 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.7 units ATS.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 41-40-1 so far in 2018. The Royals have been a great under bet with a total record of 30-46-4.

Right-hander Jason Hammel will get the start for the visiting Royals. Hammel is 2-9 with a 5.34 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 4.26 ERA and three strikeouts over 6.1 innings).

The Mariners will put the ball in the right hand of Felix Hernandez (7-6, 5.10 ERA), who has 80 punchouts and 35 walks this season as well as a 1.35 WHIP. Hernandez is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 4.76 ERA in one start against Kansas City this year.

Kansas City’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.10 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.46 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.34, along with a K-per-9 of 6.94.

Royals hitters have slashed .238/.302/.364 on their way to 3.5 runs scored per game this year, including 2.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Kansas City’s offense. The speedy Merrifield is slashing .284/.358/.401 with four home runs, 24 RBIs, 31 runs and 16 steals. Moustakas (.258/.313/.467) is up to 15 homers, 50 RBIs and 36 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.03, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.9. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

Seattle’s offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .261/.342/.411 over its last five games and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon have led the Mariners’ batters this year. Segura is hitting .338/.366/.479 with six home runs, 45 RBIs, 58 runs and 14 stolen bases, and Gordon’s line is .285/.307/.351 with 87 hits, 20 RBIs, 38 runs and 21 steals.

The Royals have lost 25.5 units and are 20-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 29 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 18.8 units and are 28-27 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 30 of those games, compared to 25 that went under.

Kansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has hit in just two of Seattle’s last seven games.

Seattle has recorded 24.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 23.6 over its last five.

The Royals have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.

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