The Milwaukee Brewers will play host to the Kansas City Royals at Miller Park. Fox Sports Kansas City will be showing this interleague showdown. The opening pitch will be at 8:10 p.m. ET.
Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Kansas City (+187) is the underdog against Milwaukee (-205) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-120 for the under and +100 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Royals +1.5 runs (-115) and Brewers -1.5 runs (-105).
The Brewers are 45-32 straight up (SU) and 43-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.5 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Royals have gone 24-54 SU this year and are 35-42 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 22.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.7 units ATS. Kansas City is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 30-45-2 so far in 2018. The Royals have also been a good under bet with a total record of 29-44-4.
Jakob Junis will get the nod for the visiting Royals. The right-handed Junis is 5-8 with a 4.43 ERA and 83 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers will put the ball in the hands of Freddy Peralta (2-0, 2.30 ERA, 0.89 WHIP), who has 25 punchouts and eight walks this season. Peralta did not pitch in the majors last season.
Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.7 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.98 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.73, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 10.7.
The Milwaukee hitters have put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has hit .221/.291/.374 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ offense has been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is slashing .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Yelich is hitting .287 with 10 homers, 32 RBIs, 51 runs and nine stolen bases.
For the visiting squad, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starters own a 5.10 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.36 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.39, along with a K-per-9 of 6.97.
The Royals offense has slashed .239/.304/.367 on its way to 3.6 runs scored per game this year, including 2.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Kansas City’s offensive production has been sparked by second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas. The speedy Merrifield is slashing .283/.360/.406 with four home runs, 23 RBIs, 31 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Moustakas is hitting .255/.312/.463 with 14 homers, 48 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
The Brewers have gained 13.7 units and are 37-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under.
Kansas City Royals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Both teams have logged 13 extra-base hits over their last five outings.
The Royals have hit four home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
Milwaukee has recorded 19.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.4 over its last five.
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