The Kansas City Royals are set to play the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This interleague matchup gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET and you can watch it on FB.
Kansas City Royals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Kansas City (+170) is the underdog against Milwaukee (-180) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds coming in at Royals +1.5 runs (-130) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+110).
The Brewers are 46-32 straight up (SU) and 43-34 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 13.0 units for moneyline bettors and 8.5 units (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Royals are 24-55 SU and have gone 36-42 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 20.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 13.6 units ATS. Kansas City’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.
Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 30-45-2 thus far in 2018. The Royals have also been a solid under bet with a total record of 29-45-4.
Left-hander Danny Duffy will get the start for the visiting Royals. Duffy is 3-7 with a 5.18 ERA and 76 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers are planning to start lefty Brent Suter (8-4, 4.15 ERA), who has 67 punchouts and 17 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.15. Suter did not record a start against the Royals in 2017.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 3.6 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.74, a WHIP of 1.19 and a K/9 of 10.7.
Milwaukee’s offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .224/.306/.416 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Brewers’ batters have been led by outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich. Cain is slashing .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Yelich’s line is .291/.366/.473 with 11 homers, 34 RBIs, 52 runs and 10 steals.
In the other dugout, Kansas City’s pitching staff allowed 5.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.14 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.42 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.32, along with a WHIP of 1.44.
The Royals offense has slashed .238/.302/.366 on its way to 3.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Kansas City’s hitters have been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and third baseman Mike Moustakas. The speedy Merrifield is slashing .279/.356/.400 with four home runs, 23 RBIs, 31 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Moustakas (.252/.308/.456) has produced 14 homers, 48 RBIs and 35 runs scored.
The Royals have gained 3.9 units and are 16-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 0.7 units and are 6-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve gone under.
Kansas City Royals at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Royals, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
Kansas City has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Milwaukee has 16 XBH over its last five.
Kansas City has posted 14.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.4 over its last five.
The Royals have hit five home runs in their last 10 games, including three over their last five.
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