The SMU Mustangs (3-3) square off against the Lamar Cardinals (3-3) at Moody Coliseum. The game can be seen on ESPN 3 at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, November 27, 2018.
Lamar Cardinals at SMU Mustangs Free Prediction
In the Cardinals’ last matchup, they were beaten by the UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros, 77-75. UT Rio Grande Valley’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over Lamar. The Vaqueros had a rate of 0.316 (above their season average of 0.300), while the Cardinals posted a mark of 0.215 (below their season average of 0.288). Josh Nzeakor had a good outing for Lamar, finishing with 15 points and 12 rebounds.
The Mustangs edged the Wright State Raiders in their last outing, 77-76. One of SMU’s largest strengths was their ability to convert at the free throw line. They were 7-8 (87.5 percent), while the Raiders were just 4-8 (50.0 percent). Jahmal McMurray was the top scorer from either team with 27 points on 9-for-16 shooting from the field.
It could be an error-filled game for the SMU offense. Since the 2017-18 season, SMU ranks 165th in the country in ball protection (turnover percentage of 18.4 percent), while the disruptive defense of Lamar has forced the fifth-most turnovers in the nation (23.4 percent). Furthermore, the Cardinals rank 27th in offensive rebounding percentage (34.4 percent), while the Mustangs rank 296th in defensive rebounding percentage (68.8 percent).
Lamar Cardinals at SMU Mustangs Odds Pick
Pick: SU Winner – SMU, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Lamar ranks 36th in rebounds per game (38.6) while SMU ranks 246th (33.8).
The Cardinals rank 41st in three pointers allowed per game (19.5) while the Mustangs rank 244th (23.4).
SMU ranks 15th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Lamar ranks 129th (6.0).
The Cardinals rank 146th in assists per game (13.8) while the Mustangs rank 247th in assists allowed per game (14.6).
SMU ranks 169th in blocks per game (3.1) while Lamar ranks 240th (2.5).
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