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Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros Free Pick 08/31/18

Astros vs Yankees
Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Angels will be squaring off against their AL West nemesis Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. The matchup will begin at 8:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to ATTSN Southwest.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Los Angeles (+187) as the dog to Houston (-205). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -115 for the Angels +1.5 runs and -105 for the Astros -1.5.

The Astros are 82-52 straight up (SU) and 67-66 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 9.7 units for moneyline bettors and 5.1 units (ATS). Houston has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Angels are 65-69 SU and have gone 61-72 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 12.7 units for moneyline bettors and 20.4 units ATS. Los Angeles is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Astros games have a 59-67-7 over/under record in 2018. The Angels have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 59-65-9.

Jaime Barria will get the start for the visiting Angels. The right-handed Barria (8-8, 3.67 ERA) has racked up 77 strikeouts in 100.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with eight strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Houston this year (two starts).

The Astros will turn to Framber Valdez (2-0, 0.96 ERA), who has seven strikeouts and four walks to his credit as well as a 0.86 WHIP. Valdez is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

As a unit, Houston’s pitching staff has yielded 3.3 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.20, a WHIP of 1.11 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.4. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.01, a WHIP of 1.05 and a K/9 of 10.7. In 67 games against AL West opponents, Astros starters have an ERA of 3.51 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.61.

The Houston hitters are putting up 5.0 runs per outing, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .268/.351/.384 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Astros’ batters have been led by third baseman Alex Bregman and second baseman Jose Altuve. Bregman is hitting .292/.394/.531 with 25 home runs, 86 RBIs and 90 runs scored, while Altuve’s line is .329/.392/.466 with 10 homers, 51 RBIs, 69 runs and 15 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.35 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.81 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.74, along with a K-per-9 of 8.55.

Angels hitters have slashed .247/.319/.418 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Andrelton Simmons and outfielder Mike Trout continue to lead Los Angeles’ hitters. Simmons is slashing .297/.345/.419 with eight home runs, 63 RBIs and 57 runs scored. Trout is hitting .310/.460/.621 with 31 homers, 62 RBIs, 88 runs and 21 stolen bases.

The Astros have lost 2.5 units and are 42-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 35 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against righty starters.

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in four of Los Angeles’ last seven games.

Los Angeles has recorded 20.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.6 over its last five.

The Angels have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Astros have hit 12 over their last 10.

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Written by GMS Previews

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