The San Diego Padres are playing host to the Los Angeles Angels at PETCO Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 9:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego is in line to showcase this interleague matchup.
Los Angeles Angels at San Diego Padres Odds
San Diego (-110) is favored over Los Angeles (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). Runline odds sit at -210 for picking the Angels +1.5 runs and +175 for the Padres -1.5.
The Padres are 48-74 straight up (SU) and 57-64 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.3 units for moneyline bettors and 26.9 units (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Angels have gone 61-60 SU this year and are 55-65 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 8.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 16.7 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.
San Diego games have a 58-58-5 over/under record in 2018. The Angels have been a decent under bet with a total record of 52-59-9.
Right-hander Felix Pena will get the nod for Los Angeles. Pena (1-3, 4.95 ERA) has recorded 40 strikeouts in 43.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres are preparing to start lefty Robbie Erlin (2-3, 3.36 ERA), who has 57 strikeouts and eight walks, as well as a 0.99 WHIP. Erlin did not pitch in the majors last season.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 5.09, a WHIP of 1.47 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 3.51 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.
San Diego’s hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .242/.307/.379 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
First baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis have led the Padres’ hitters this year. Hosmer is slashing .255/.321/.387 with 11 home runs, 49 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Galvis is batting .240 with 10 homers, 50 RBIs and 45 runs.
For the visiting squad, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 4.20 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.79 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.66, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K-per-9 of 8.79.
Angels hitters have slashed .247/.322/.422 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by shortstop Andrelton Simmons and outfielder Justin Upton, who’ve collectively swatted 33 home runs. Simmons is hitting .300/.352/.420 with seven home runs, 53 RBIs and 56 runs scored, while Upton is slashing .267/.352/.481 with 26 homers, 73 RBIs and 67 runs scored.
The Angels have lost 11.3 units and are 12-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 18 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 1.2 units and are 44-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 38 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve cashed the under.
Los Angeles Angels at San Diego Padres Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Angels, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Los Angeles has logged 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. San Diego has 10 XBH over its last five.
The Angels have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 16 over their last 10.
Los Angeles has posted 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.6 over its last five.
The Padres have dropped three of their last four games SU.
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