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Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners Free Preview 07/03/18

Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The red-hot Seattle Mariners will go for their eighth consecutive win as they play host to the Los Angeles Angels at Safeco Field. The game will begin at 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on either RTNW or FSW.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Odds

Los Angeles (-110) is favored against Seattle (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). The game’s current runline odds stand at +135 for taking the Angels -1.5 runs and -155 for the Mariners +1.5.

The Mariners are 54-31 straight up (SU) and 44-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 21.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.2 units (ATS). Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Angels, on the other hand, are 43-42 SU and have gone 36-49 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 6.9 units for moneyline bettors and 19.3 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Seattle games have had an over/under record of 42-42-1 so far in 2018. The Angels have an over/under record of 37-41-7.

Andrew Heaney will get the nod for the Halos. The left-handed Heaney (4-5, 3.95 ERA) has recorded 76 strikeouts in 82 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 15.00 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners will turn to lefty Wade LeBlanc (3-0, 3.38 ERA), who’s got 56 punchouts and 15 walks as well as a 1.21 WHIP. LeBlanc is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA in one start against Los Angeles this year.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitchers have yielded 4.1 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.98, a WHIP of 1.21 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.83 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.9 K/9. In 30 divisional games, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.00 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.44.

The Seattle offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .285/.323/.436 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

The Mariners’ hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon. Segura is hitting .335/.363/.474 with six home runs, 45 RBIs, 59 runs and 14 steals, while Gordon is hitting .280 with 88 hits, 20 RBIs, 38 runs and 21 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.84 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.04 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.99, along with a K-per-9 of 8.96.

The Angels offense has slashed .245/.320/.414 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Los Angeles’ offensive production has been sparked by right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons, who have combined to launch 29 home runs. Trout is slashing .313/.456/.633 with 24 home runs, 49 RBIs, 66 runs and 13 steals, while Simmons is hitting .319/.380/.440 with five homers, 38 RBIs and 41 runs scored.

The Angels have lost 11.7 units and are 5-15 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have lost 0.6 units and are 14-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 11 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The over has cashed in only two of Seattle’s last seven games.

The Angels have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.

Seattle has recorded 24.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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