The Orlando Magic (2-5) go head-to-head with the Los Angeles Clippers (4-4) at the Amway Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 2, 2018, and will air on Fox SportsNet Florida.
Los Angeles opened as a 1.5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 216.5 points.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Orlando Magic Free Prediction
The Clippers were unable to cover as 3.5-point underdogs in their 122-113 loss to the Philadelphia 76ers in their last outing. The game’s total points (235) came in over the O/U total of 228.5. Philadelphia’s 11.7 turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Los Angeles, who had a rate of 15.2. The 76ers’ mark was better than their season average of 12.5, while the Clippers’ was above the 10.1 mark opponents have averaged against Philadelphia this season. Los Angeles’ Tobias Harris had a solid outing, recording 24 points and eight rebounds.
In the Magic’s previous matchup, they lost to the Sacramento Kings, 107-99, despite being 4.5-point favorites. The game’s total points (206) finished under the projected point total of 220.5. Sacramento’s effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Orlando. The Kings had a rate of 0.536 (below their season average of 0.555), while the Magic posted a mark of 0.456 (below the 0.541 mark opponents have averaged against Sacramento this season). Orlando’s Nikola Vucevic put up 15 points, 15 rebounds and five assists in the contest.
The Clippers won both contests against the Magic last season. In the most recent contest, Los Angeles won 113-105. The Clippers knocked down 24 of their 28 free throws (85.7 percent) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (25.0 vs. 21.4).
Los Angeles holds records of 4-4 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total low when the Clippers are involved, as 57.1 percent of their games have ended over the projected point total.
Meanwhile, Orlando is 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS. Contrary to Los Angeles, Magic games tend to finish under the projected point total (71.4 percent).
The high-octane offense of Los Angeles will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of Orlando. Since the 2017-18 season, the Clippers rank eighth in offensive efficiency, while the Magic are 20th in defensive efficiency. The Clippers should have the advantage on that end of the court.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Orlando Magic Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
When holding opponents below 100 points, Los Angeles is 14-2 and Orlando is 13-9.
In games where they score above 100 points, the Clippers are 44-30 and the Magic are 25-33.
Los Angeles ranks third in points in the paint per game (52.4) while Orlando ranks 28th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.2).
The Clippers rank fifth in second chance points per game (13.8) while the Magic rank 26th (11.2).
Orlando averages 5.0 blocks per game, which ranks 12th in the league. Los Angeles ranks 29th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
The Magic rank 13th in fast break points per game (12.4) while the Clippers rank last in fast break points allowed per game (15.5).
Los Angeles ranks 12th in rebounds per game (44.1) while Orlando ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (46.2).
The Magic rank 15th in steals allowed per game (7.7) while the Clippers rank 28th (8.5).
Orlando ranks 10th in assists per game (23.6) while Los Angeles ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (24.3).
The Magic average 29.7 three pointers per game, which ranks 14th in the NBA. The Clippers rank 18th in three pointers allowed per game (30.1).
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