The Dallas Mavericks (5-17) square off with the Los Angeles Clippers (8-12) at American Airlines Center. The game starts at 2 p.m. ET on Saturday, December 2, 2017, and will air on Fox Sports – Southwest.
Dallas opened as a 5-point favorite, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 207 points.
Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Free Prediction
The last time the Clippers played, they were thoroughly outplayed by the Utah Jazz, 126-107. Utah’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Los Angeles. The Jazz had a rate of 12.5 (better than their season average of 13.9), while the Clippers posted a mark of 18.6 (above their season average of 13.5). Austin Rivers led Los Angeles in scoring with 25 points on 9-for-16 shooting.
The Mavericks lost to the Brooklyn Nets in their last game, 109-104. Brooklyn out-rebounded Dallas. The Nets had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. seven), defensive rebounds (38 vs. 37) and total rebounds (52 vs. 44). Dallas’ Harrison Barnes had a solid performance, leading the team in scoring with 17 points on 5-for-10 shooting.
Los Angeles should have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Clippers currently rank ninth in offensive efficiency, while Dallas ranks 20th in defensive efficiency.
Los Angeles holds records of 8-12 straight up (SU) and 8-12 against the spread (ATS). It’s tough to find a trend for Clippers games in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Dallas is 5-17 SU and 8-14 ATS. Similarly to to Los Angeles, there does not appear to be a trend for games featuring the Mavericks in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Dirk Nowitzki has averaged 12.8 points and 7.2 rebounds over the last five games for Dallas.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Blake Griffin scored a game-high 20 points and the Clippers defeated the Mavericks 119-98, covering as 10.5-point favorites. He also had seven assists and six rebounds. The game finished with a total of 217 points, which was 9.5 points above the projected point total of 207.5 points. The Clippers knocked down 24 of their 29 free throws (82.8 percent) and had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.609 vs. 0.461).
Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
Los Angeles is 4-6 ATS on the road with 6 unders and 4 overs.
At home, Dallas is 4-9 ATS with 6 overs, 6 unders and 1 push.
Los Angeles is 5-1 when they allow under 100 points, while Dallas is 5-4.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Mavericks are 3-7 and the Clippers are 7-9.
Los Angeles ranks eighth in points in the paint per game (46.8) while Dallas ranks last (36.9).
The Clippers rank 12th in points off turnovers per game (18.3) while the Mavericks rank 29th (14.3).
Los Angeles ranks 11th in steals per game (8.2) while Dallas ranks 22nd in steals allowed per game (8.5).
The Mavericks rank third in three pointers attempted per game (33.0) while the Clippers rank 14th (29.6).
Los Angeles ranks 14th in rebounds per game (43.5) while Dallas ranks 24th in rebounds allowed per game (46.4).
The Clippers rank 18th in fast break points per game (9.6) while the Mavericks rank 26th in fast break points allowed per game (13.7).
Los Angeles ranks 20th in blocks per game (4.3) while Dallas ranks 27th (3.4).
The Mavericks rank 22nd in assists per game (21.2) while the Clippers rank 27th (20.4).
Los Angeles averages 13.8 second chance points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. Dallas ranks seventh in second chance points allowed per game (10.6).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Clippers’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.2, up from 1.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 101.2 points per game (1.7 above their season average) and allowed an average of 101.8 points per game (2.9 below their season average).
