The Dallas Mavericks (10-10) will attempt to extend their six-game home winning streak in a matchup against the Los Angeles Clippers (15-6) at American Airlines Center. The game will air on FSN Prime Ticket at 7 p.m. ET on Sunday, December 2, 2018.
Los Angeles is a 2.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 225 points.
Los Angeles Clippers at Dallas Mavericks Betting Prediction
In the Clippers’ last game, they easily covered the 2-point spread against the Sacramento Kings, 133-121. The game’s combined points (254) came in well over the O/U total of 236. The Clippers, who came into the game averaging an effective field goal percentage of 0.523, had an extraordinary mark of 0.622 and had a turnover percentage of 8.1 (better than their season average of 12.0). With 28 points on 11-for-17 shooting, Tobias Harris was the top scorer from either team.
The Mavericks lost to the Los Angeles Lakers in their last matchup, 114-103. They failed to cover as 4-point underdogs. The game’s total points (217) finished under the O/U total of 221. Los Angeles’ 0.541 effective field goal percentage was their largest advantage over Dallas, who had a mark of 0.453. The Lakers’ mark was above their season average of 0.531, while the Mavericks’ was below their season average of 0.537. With 29 points on 9-for-17 shooting, Harrison Barnes was the game’s leading scorer.
After the Clippers won two out of three contests against the Mavericks last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent matchup, Los Angeles won 104-101. Los Angeles had a much better turnover percentage (12.3 vs. 18.4). Dallas, meanwhile, did a great job of converting from the free throw line (18-20; 90.0 percent).
Los Angeles holds records of 15-6 straight up (SU) and 14-7 against the spread (ATS). Of the Clippers’ 21 games, 13 have finished over the O/U total.
Meanwhile, Dallas owns records of 10-10 SU and 13-7 ATS. Similarly to Los Angeles, games including the Mavericks also tend to go over the projected point total (55.0 percent).
Montrezl Harrell has averaged 20 points,9.4 rebounds,1.8 steals,1.8 blocks over the last five games for Los Angeles.
The aggressive Dallas offense might be getting to the foul line a lot in this meeting. The Mavericks rank fourth in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.229, while Los Angeles is among the NBA’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 22nd-ranked FTA rate of 0.215).
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick
Free NBA Tip: SU Winner – Mavericks, ATS Winner – Mavericks, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Los Angeles is 6-5 ATS on the road with 7 overs and 4 unders.
At home, Dallas is 8-2 ATS with 6 overs and 4 unders.
Los Angeles is 3-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Dallas is 3-1.
The Mavericks are 10-9 when they reach 100 points, while the Clippers are 15-5.
Dallas ranks fifth in blocks allowed per game (4.6) while Los Angeles ranks 27th (6.2).
The Mavericks rank seventh in three pointers attempted per game (33.8) while the Clippers rank 27th (25.3).
Dallas ranks third in rebounds allowed per game (41.9) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd (46.0).
The Mavericks rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (44.8) while the Clippers rank 21st (50.3).
Dallas averages 14.8 second chance points per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (14.7).
The Mavericks rank 14 in steals per game (7.8) while the Clippers rank 28 (5.904761904761905).
Dallas ranks 13 in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while Los Angeles ranks 26 (14.80952380952381).
The Mavericks rank 13 in fast break points per game (14.05) while the Clippers rank 22 in fast break points allowed per game (14.428571428571429).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Dallas is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over its last five games.
The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 6.0, up from 5.3 for the season.
During their last five games, the Mavericks have scored an average of 110.2 points per game (0.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 107.4 points per game (1.4 below their season average).
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