The Oklahoma City Thunder (1-4) challenge the Los Angeles Clippers (4-2) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The game will air on Fox SportsNet Oklahoma at 8 p.m. ET on Tuesday, October 30, 2018.
Oklahoma City is a 5.5-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 221.5 points.
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Free Prediction
In the Clippers’ last contest, they comfortably covered the 3.5-point spread against the Washington Wizards, 136-104. The combined points for the game (240) came in over the O/U total of 228.5. Los Angeles’ 0.621 effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Washington, who had a mark of 0.418. The Clippers’ mark was above their season average of 0.511, while the Wizards’ was below their season average of 0.509. With 22 points on 9-for-14 shooting, Tobias Harris was the game’s high scorer.
The Thunder were victorious over the Phoenix Suns in their last matchup, 117-110, but were unable to cover as 13.5-point favorites. The game’s total points (227) came in over the O/U total of 219. Oklahoma City’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Phoenix. The Thunder had a rate of 13.0 (worse than their season average of 12.1), while the Suns posted a mark of 18.4 (above the 13.5 mark opponents have averaged against Oklahoma City this season). With 20 points and 15 rebounds, Nerlens Noel had a good outing for Oklahoma City.
Look for Oklahoma City to dominate the offensive glass in this battle. Dating back to last season, the Thunder rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (27.3 percent), while Los Angeles ranks 29th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.0 percent).
Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 4-2 straight up (SU) and 4-2 against the spread (ATS). It’s tough to find a trend for games involving the Clippers in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Oklahoma City owns records of 1-4 SU and 1-4 ATS. Vegas has a tendency to place the total high when the Thunder are involved, as 60.0 percent of their games have gone under the total.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Thunder lost 108-92, unable to cover as 3-point underdogs. Steven Adams put up 17 points and 18 rebounds. The game finished with a total of 200 points, which was 14 points below the projected point total of 214 points. Getting to the free throw line was one of Los Angeles’ biggest strengths. They made 36 trips to the line, while Oklahoma City went 23 times.
Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder Odds Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Thunder, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
In games where they allow under 100 points, Los Angeles is 14-2 and Oklahoma City is 23-6.
When scoring more than 100 points, the Clippers are 44-28 and the Thunder are 47-21.
Oklahoma City averages 9.1 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. Los Angeles ranks 28th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
The Thunder rank first in second chance points per game (15.2) while the Clippers rank 26th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
Oklahoma City averages 15.1 fast break points per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks last in fast break points allowed per game (15.3).
The Thunder rank first in points off turnovers per game (18.9) while the Clippers rank 22nd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
Oklahoma City ranks ninth in blocks allowed per game (4.6) while Los Angeles ranks 29th (5.7).
The Clippers rank third in points in the paint per game (52.4) while the Thunder rank 19th (43.8).
Oklahoma City ranks fifth in rebounds per game (45.2) while Los Angeles ranks 19th in rebounds allowed per game (43.8).
The Clippers rank 20th in assists per game (22.3) while the Thunder rank 29th (21.0).
Oklahoma City averages 30.4 three pointers per game, which ranks 11th in the NBA. Los Angeles ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (30.2).
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