The Los Angeles Clippers (4-3) will have their hands full against the NBA’s top shooting defense when they clash against the Philadelphia 76ers (4-4) at Wells Fargo Center. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 1, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 228.5 points with Philadelphia set as a 4.5-point favorite.
Los Angeles Clippers at Philadelphia 76ers ATS Prediction
The last time the Clippers played, they were dismantled by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 128-110, and failed to cover as 3.5-point underdogs. The game’s combined points (238) finished over the O/U total of 228.5. Oklahoma City’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over Los Angeles. The Thunder had a rate of 12.2 (better than their season average of 12.3), while the Clippers posted a mark of 20.5 (above their season average of 12.3). Danilo Gallinari was Los Angeles’ high scorer with 27 points on 7-for-15 shooting.
The 76ers fell to the Toronto Raptors in their last game, 129-112. They failed to cover as 6-point underdogs. The game’s total points (241) came in over the projected point total of 228. Toronto’s 12.6 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Philadelphia, who had a rate of 18.1. The Raptors’ mark was worse than their season average of 11.2, while the 76ers’ was above their season average of 11.6. With 31 points on 11-for-21 shooting, Joel Embiid led Philadelphia in scoring.
Look for Philadelphia to own the offensive glass in this battle. Dating back to last season, the 76ers rank third in offensive rebounding percentage (25.5 percent), while Los Angeles ranks 28th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.0 percent). Also, the Clippers rank second in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.227), while the 76ers rank 28th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.216).
Los Angeles comes into the contest with records of 4-3 straight up (SU) and 4-3 against the spread (ATS). Games including the Clippers have a tendency to finish over the O/U total (57.1 percent).
Meanwhile, Philadelphia is 4-4 SU and 2-6 ATS. Much like Los Angeles, 76ers games also have typically finished over the total (62.5 percent).
The 76ers won both contests against the Clippers last season. In the last contest, Philadelphia won 112-98. Philadelphia had a better turnover percentage (11.0 vs. 14.0). Los Angeles, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (22.0 vs. 12.5).
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Philadelphia 76ers Pick
Pick: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – 76ers, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Philadelphia is 25-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Los Angeles is 14-2.
The 76ers are 58-25 when they reach the century mark, while the Clippers are 44-29.
Philadelphia ranks sixth in fast break points allowed per game (10.8) while Los Angeles ranks last (15.4).
The 76ers average 8.1 steals per game, which ranks seventh in the league. The Clippers rank 28th in steals allowed per game (8.6).
Philadelphia averages 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks seventh in the league. Los Angeles ranks 28th in blocks allowed per game (5.7).
The 76ers average 13.9 second chance points per game, which ranks fourth in the league. The Clippers rank 25th in second chance points allowed per game (13.4).
Philadelphia averages 27.0 assists per game, which ranks second in the league. Los Angeles ranks 23rd in assists allowed per game (24.3).
The 76ers rank first in rebounds per game (48.0) while the Clippers rank 18th in rebounds allowed per game (43.8).
Philadelphia ranks first in points allowed in the paint per game (41.8) while Los Angeles ranks 17th (45.3).
The 76ers average 16.8 points off turnovers per game, which ranks 12th in the league. The Clippers rank 23rd in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.5).
Philadelphia ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (30.3) while Los Angeles ranks 18th in three pointers allowed per game (30.1).
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