The Portland Trail Blazers (8-3) go head-to-head with the Los Angeles Clippers (6-4) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game starts at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday, November 8, 2018.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 225.5 points with Portland set as a 5-point favorite.
Los Angeles Clippers at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Prediction
The last time the Clippers played, they covered the 5.5-point spread against the Minnesota Timberwolves, 120-109. The game’s combined points (229) were under the O/U total of 233. Los Angeles out-rebounded Minnesota. The Clippers had more offensive rebounds (13 vs. eight) and total rebounds (43 vs. 38). Tobias Harris fueled Los Angeles with 22 points and 10 rebounds.
The Trail Blazers were victorious over the Milwaukee Bucks in their last game, 118-103, despite being 2-point underdogs. The total points for the game (221) finished under the O/U total of 228.5. Portland’s 0.621 effective field goal percentage was their biggest strength over Milwaukee, who had a rate of 0.522. The Trail Blazers’ mark was above their season average of 0.526. CJ McCollum was the top scorer from either team with 40 points on 17-for-26 shooting from the field.
After the Trail Blazers won three out of four matchups against the Clippers last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent game, Portland won 105-96. The Trail Blazers’ 27.1 offensive rebounding percentage was their largest strength over the Clippers, who had a mark of 22.9.
Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 6-4 straight up (SU) and 6-4 against the spread (ATS). Games involving the Clippers have no tendency in regards to the O/U total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under.
Meanwhile, Portland is 8-3 SU and 8-3 ATS. Of the Trail Blazers’ 11 games, 6 have finished over the O/U total.
Lou Williams has averaged 22.2 points and 3.4 assists over the last five games for Los Angeles.
Portland should have an edge on the offensive glass in this contest. The Trail Blazers are among the NBA’s elite on the offensive glass, ranking fifth in offensive rebounding percentage at 26.2 percent. Meanwhile, Los Angeles ranks 17th in the NBA at corralling defensive rebounds with a defensive rebounding percentage of 76.7 percent. Moreover, the Clippers, who rank first in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.283), will face a tough test against the Trail Blazers, who rank third in opponents’ FTA rate (0.174).
Los Angeles Clippers at Portland Trail Blazers Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Clippers, ATS Winner – Clippers, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
Los Angeles is 2-3 ATS on the road with 3 overs and 2 unders.
At home, Portland is 5-2 ATS with 4 overs and 3 unders.
In contests where they hold opponents below 100 points, Portland is 3-0 and Los Angeles is 2-0.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Clippers are 6-3 and the Trail Blazers are 8-3.
Portland ranks second in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.4) while Los Angeles ranks 21st (18.0).
The Trail Blazers rank eighth in steals allowed per game (6.8) while the Clippers rank 26th (8.6).
Los Angeles ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (26.6) while Portland ranks 18th (31.8).
The Trail Blazers rank second in rebounds per game (51.8) while the Clippers rank 11th (46.5).
Portland ranks 14th in second chance points per game (13.7) while Los Angeles ranks 22nd in second chance points allowed per game (15.3).
The Clippers rank seventh in points in the paint per game (52.4) while the Trail Blazers rank 14th in points allowed in the paint per game (48.7).
Los Angeles averages 5.7 blocks per game, which ranks 13th in the league. Portland ranks 17th in blocks allowed per game (5.9).
The Clippers rank 21st in assists per game (22.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 25th (20.5).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, Los Angeles is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Portland is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over its last five games.
The Clippers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.2, up from 6.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 115.0 points per game (2.3 below their season average) and allowed an average of 100.4 points per game (7.0 below their season average).
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