The struggling New York Mets are trying to avoid dropping their fifth in a row when they play host to the Los Angeles Dodgers at Citi Field. This NL showdown is going to be nationally televised on Fox and the game gets underway 7:15 p.m. ET.
Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets Odds
Los Angeles (+130) is the underdog against New York (-140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 7.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at Dodgers +1.5 runs (-170) and Mets -1.5 runs (+150).
The Mets are 31-42 straight up (SU) and 31-40 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 12.3 units for moneyline bettors and 13.8 units (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Dodgers, on the other hand, are 39-35 SU and have gone 32-41 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 18.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.9 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in all seven of them.
Mets games have an over/under record of 30-39-2 so far in 2018. Los Angeles has an over/under record of 36-35-2.
The left-handed Clayton Kershaw will get the nod for the visiting Dodgers. Kershaw (1-4, 2.76 ERA) has racked up 53 strikeouts in 49 innings so far. He has yet to face the Mets this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 8.53 ERA and 10 strikeouts across 6.1 innings).
The Mets are handing the ball to righty Jacob deGrom (5-2, 1.51 ERA), who has 120 strikeouts and 24 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.99. deGrom only made one start against the Dodgers in 2017 (0-1, 5.40 ERA and eight strikeouts across five innings).
New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 4.01 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.
The New York offense is putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .318/.400/.506 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
The Mets’ batters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .277/.319/.475 with 12 home runs, 41 RBIs and 34 runs scored, and Rosario is hitting .249 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 28 runs.
In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.49 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.63 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.67, along with a WHIP of 1.17.
Dodgers hitters have slashed .241/.323/.421 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Outfielders Matt Kemp and Chris Taylor continue to lead Los Angeles’ offense. Kemp is slashing .320/.356/.545 with 12 home runs, 43 RBIs and 33 runs scored, while Taylor (.249/.335/.444) is up to eight homers, 27 RBIs and 46 runs scored.
The Dodgers have lost 21.1 units and are 18-29 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 31 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 2.7 units and are 10-10 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in eight of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has hit in seven of Los Angeles’ last seven games.
The Dodgers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 13 over their last 10.
Los Angeles has averaged 18.9 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 14.6 over its last five.
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