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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free Pick 05/02/18

Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be taking on their divisional rival Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will televise the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 9:40 p.m. ET.

Los Angeles Dodgers at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (-125) is the favorite over Los Angeles (+115) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Dodgers +1.5 runs (-180) and Diamondbacks +-1.5 runs (+160).

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks

The Diamondbacks are 21-8 SU and 16-12 ATS. They’ve gained 13.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.0 units against the spread (ATS). Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Dodgers have gone 12-17 SU this year and are 9-19 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 15.5 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 12.0 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Arizona games have an over/under record of 14-13-1 so far in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 16-12.

The southpaw Hyun-Jin Ryu will get the nod for the visiting Dodgers. Ryu is 3-0 with a 2.22 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 7.36 ERA against Arizona this year (two starts).

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the right hand of Zack Godley (4-1, 3.81 ERA, 1.41 WHIP), who has 28 strikeouts and 11 walks this season. Godley is 1-1 with seven strikeouts and a 4.91 ERA over two starts against Los Angeles this year.

Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.61 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 10.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 1.85, a WHIP of 1.01 and a K/9 of 8.5. In 20 games against NL West foes, Diamondbacks starters have an ERA of 3.20 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.31.

Arizona’s offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .269/.335/.491 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta have led the Diamondbacks’ hitters this year. Pollock is hitting .292/.356/.689 with 10 home runs, 25 RBIs, 21 runs and seven stolen bases, and Peralta’s line is .299/.389/.515 with five homers, 17 RBIs and 15 runs.

Pollock performed well against lefties at home in 2017, slashing .368/.411/.706 across 73 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .268/.333/.475).

In the other dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.56 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.63 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.77, along with a K-per-9 of 10.31.

Dodgers hitters have slashed .244/.326/.395 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Backstop Yasmani Grandal and first baseman Cody Bellinger have led Los Angeles’ hitters. Grandal is slashing .308/.406/.538 with four home runs, 20 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Bellinger (.279/.336/.477) is up to four homers, 14 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

The Dodgers have lost 10.8 units and are 6-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 9.3 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in five of those games, as opposed to six that’ve gone under.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER

Notes

Betting Notes

The Dodgers have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Diamondbacks have won five of their last six SU.

The Los Angeles defense has allowed nine errors over the last 10 games, compared to four errors for Arizona over its last 10.

The Dodgers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.

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