The San Diego Padres are seeking their fourth straight win as they play host to the Los Angeles Dodgers at PETCO Park. The matchup will get going at 10:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports San Diego will be showing the game.
Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres Odds
The Dodgers have gone 5-9 SU this year and are 3-10 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.7 units for moneyline bettors over the early part of the year and 7.2 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread just once over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Padres are 7-10 SU and 7-9 ATS. They’ve lost 1.6 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units ATS. San Diego has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
San Diego games have a 6-9-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Dodgers have an over/under record of 6-7.
The Dodgers have lost 9.4 units and are 1-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to two that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Padres have netted 2.4 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in three of those games, as opposed to three which went under the total.
Left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu is the projected starter for Los Angeles. Ryu is 1-0 with a 2.79 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 5.40 ERA and five strikeouts across five innings).
The Padres are turning to lefty Robbie Erlin (0-1, 2.38 ERA), who has nine punchouts and two walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 0.79. Erlin did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have given up 4.1 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.07, a WHIP of 1.52 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 1.84, a WHIP of 1.00 and a K/9 of 10.3. In 11 games against divisional opponents, Padres starters have an ERA of 4.17 and the bullpen’s ERA is 1.64.
The San Diego hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .227/.308/.399 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Padres’ batters have been led by third baseman Christian Villanueva and left fielder Jose Pirela. Villanueva is hitting .293/.396/.756 with 12 hits, five homers, 11 RBIs and seven runs scored, while Pirela is batting .324 with 24 hits, 10 RBIs and 12 runs.
In the visiting dugout, Los Angeles’ pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 9.95 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.13.
The Dodgers offense has slashed .239/.306/.360 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Los Angeles’ hitters have been led by Yasmani Grandal and Chase Utley. Grandal is hitting .359/.444/.564 with 14 hits, five RBIs and six runs scored, while Utley is hitting .333/.417/.500 with 10 hits, six RBIs and three runs scored.
Grandal did not do as well hitting against lefty pitching on the road in 2017. Across 48 such plate appearances, he maintained a slash line of .143/.250/.238 (compared to his overall season line of .247/.308/.459).
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Dodgers, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Notes
The Dodgers have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
Los Angeles has posted 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.0 over its last five.
*****
