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Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Trail Blazers Free Preview 11/03/18

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets
Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

The Portland Trail Blazers (6-2) clash against the Los Angeles Lakers (3-5) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game is scheduled to get underway at 10 p.m. ET on Saturday, November 3, 2018.

The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 238 points with Portland set as a 3.5-point favorite.

Los Angeles Lakers at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Prediction

In the Lakers’ last matchup, they topped the Dallas Mavericks, 114-113, but they were not able to cover as 7.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (227) were under the O/U total of 234. Los Angeles’ free throw rate was their largest strength over Dallas. The Lakers had a rate of 0.214 (above their season average of 0.158), while the Mavericks posted a mark of 0.163 (below their season average of 0.194). JaVale McGee had a solid performance for Los Angeles, putting up 16 points, 15 rebounds and five blocks.

The Trail Blazers defeated the New Orleans Pelicans in their last outing, 132-119, covering as 8-point favorites. The game’s total points (251) were well over the projected point total of 229.5. Portland made 18 of their 35 three pointers (51.4 percent). New Orleans, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.9 vs. 21.1). Damian Lillard led Portland in scoring with 26 points on 7-for-16 shooting from the field.

This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, Lillard scored a game-high 28 points and the Trail Blazers defeated the Lakers 128-119, covering as 3-point favorites. He also had six rebounds. The game finished with a total of 247 points, which was 23 points above the projected point total of 224 points. Portland had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.9 vs. 16.7). Los Angeles, meanwhile, had a better effective field goal percentage (0.522 vs. 0.505).

Los Angeles heads into the game with records of 3-5 straight up (SU) and 2-6 against the spread (ATS). Vegas is known to place the total low when the Lakers are involved, as 75.0 percent of their contests have ended over the total.

Meanwhile, Portland is 6-2 SU and 6-2 ATS. Trail Blazers games also have a tendency to finish over the projected point total (75.0 percent).

Los Angeles could struggle to create turnovers. Dating back to last season, Portland ranks ninth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.3 percent), while Los Angeles has forced the 20th-most turnovers (13.4 percent).

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Portland Trail Blazers Free Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Lakers, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

When allowing below 100 points, Portland is 28-8 and Los Angeles is 13-5.

The Lakers are 35-34 when they reach the century mark, while the Trail Blazers are 50-23.

Los Angeles ranks second in fast break points per game (18.2) while Portland ranks last (8.7).

The Trail Blazers rank fifth in points allowed in the paint per game (43.1) while the Lakers rank 29th (49.7).

Los Angeles ranks eighth in assists per game (24.0) while Portland ranks 29th (19.6).

The Trail Blazers rank sixth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.9) while the Lakers rank 26th (18.2).

Portland ranks fourth in rebounds per game (45.8) while Los Angeles ranks 23rd in rebounds allowed per game (45.1).

The Trail Blazers rank ninth in second chance points allowed per game (11.9) while the Lakers rank 26th (13.4).

Los Angeles ranks 12th in steals per game (7.9) while Portland ranks 25th (6.9).

The Trail Blazers rank 12th in blocks per game (5.1) while the Lakers rank 25th in blocks allowed per game (5.5).

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Written by GMS Previews

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