The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and Ole Miss Rebels are ready to collide on the grass at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field. The afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 4:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to SEC Network.
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
Ole Miss is the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 23 points to Louisiana-Monroe. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at a pretty-high 74.5 points. It appears that there should be some good in-game betting opportunities for this matchup.
The line opened at -21 but has recently moved lower to -23. The game’s O/U hasn’t changed after being initially posted at 74.5.
The Warhawks have lost 1.4 units so far and are 1-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under mark of 1-3. The Rebels have gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-2.
The Warhawks are 2-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Rebels are 3-2 SU.
The Warhawks are looking to bounce back after a 46-14 defeat to Georgia State last week. Caleb Evans completed 19 passes for only 136 yards and two interceptions. Evans (39 yards on six rush attempts, two TDs) also mounted the running attack. Sloan Spiller (three receptions, 18 yards) and Gore (three catches, zero yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Ole Miss just lost a brutal 45-16 game to LSU. Jordan Ta’amu completed 19-of-38 passes for 178 yards and one interception. Scottie Phillips (96 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) led the running game while A.J. Brown (nine receptions, 72 yards) and D.K. Metcalf (three catches, 37 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Louisiana-Monroe has run the ball on 45.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Ole Miss has an overall rush percentage of 50.0 percent. The Warhawks have run for 159 yards/game and have six scores on the ground this year. The Rebels are averaging 170 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.
The Warhawks offense has averaged 239 yards through the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Rebels have produced 314 pass yards per game and have 10 total pass scores.
Defensively, Louisiana-Monroe has allowed 172 rush yards and 300 pass yards per game. The Ole Miss defense has allowed 310.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 208.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Rebels are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.50 to opponents, while the Warhawks have given up an 8.34 ANY/A.
Offensively, Evans is up to 902 passing yards this season. He’s completed 60 percent of his 141 attempts with five scores through the air and five interceptions. Evans has a 5.18 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.64 over the last two outings.
Jordan Ta’amu has managed to complete 71-of-125 passes for 1,095 yards, eight TDs and three INTs for Ole Miss. His ANY/A sits at 8.10 for the season and 7.06 across his past two games.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Prediction: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Ole Miss Rebels
SU Winner – Ole Miss, ATS Winner – Louisiana-Monroe, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Warhawks offense has recorded four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Rebels have put up 12 such plays.
The Louisiana-Monroe defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Ole Miss has given up five such plays.
The Louisiana-Monroe offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Ole Miss has created 10 such runs.
The Warhawks defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Rebels have given up six such runs.
The Louisiana-Monroe defense has sacked opposing QBs 14 times this year. Ole Miss has produced 10 sacks.
Louisiana-Monroe has rushed for 5.03529411764706 yards per attempt over its past three games and 5.8 over its last two.
Ole Miss has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.3 over its past two.
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