The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks (1-9, 0-6) will travel to play the Texas State Bobcats (2-7, 1-4) this week in a clash between a pair of struggling SBC teams. The SBC’s third-leading passer, Garrett Smith (2,033 yards, 17 TDs), will be on display in this contest. It starts at 9:30 p.m. ET on Thursday, Nov 19 and will air on ESPU.
Texas State lost big to Georgia State 41-19 last week. Robert Lowe had a huge game on the ground in the loss, totaling 88 yards and one TD on 17 carries. C.J. Best added 63 receiving yards on seven receptions. Louisiana-Monroe also struggled, getting dominated by Arkansas State 59-21. Ben Luckett had an outstanding performance running the ball for the Warhawks, carrying 18 times for 149 yards and one TD. Marcus Green finished with 56 receiving yards and a TD on four catches.
The Bobcats, a five-point favorite, will be looking to defend their home field when Louisiana-Monroe visits. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is unavailable currently.
The Bobcats enter the game with a record of 2-7 Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS) this season. In their five most recent matchups, the Bobcats went 1-4 for both SU and ATS. Look for Texas State to take advantage of an inferior run defense. The Warhawks are 117th in the country against the run, giving up 221.7 rushing yards per game. As for the Texas State defense, there are important areas to keep an eye on. The Warhawks will be matching up against a stout Texas State pass defense, which only allowed 246.6 passing yards over their last five matchups. In the second quarter, Texas State is a tough test, putting up 11.7 points per game. Louisiana-Monroe will want to stay focused this week to avoid giving the game away to the Bobcats. The Warhawks are one of the most penalized teams in the nation with 8.2 flags per game.
As for their opponent, the Warhawks head into Week 12 with records of 3-6-1 ATS and 1-9 SU. The Warhawks went 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS over the last five games.
Predictions: SU Winner – Texas State, ATS Winner – Texas State
Notes
Texas State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games.
Texas State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State’s last 5 games.
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-1 SU when leading at the half this season. Texas State is 2-2 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Louisiana-Monroe is winless (0-8 SU) in games where it comes out ahead in the turnover battle, and an even 1-1 SU when losing the turnover battle.
The Texas State rushing attack is ranked 42nd in the nation, compared to the 117th-ranked run defense of Louisiana-Monroe.
