The Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns (-3) and Texas State Bobcats will go toe-to-toe on the turf at Jim Wacker Field at Bobcat Stadium. Kickoff for this conference game is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET and ESPN+ will televise the action.
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns at Texas State Bobcats Betting Preview
In this Saturday Sun Belt game, Louisiana is projected as the favorite and is currently giving up 3 points. The Ragin’ Cajuns are also receiving -155 moneyline odds while the Bobcats are +135. If one side can create a bunch of points early on it will generate a decent in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 60.5 points.
Odds have moved a bit from where they initially opened. The opening line was 3.5 and the game’s over/under was placed originally at 61.
The Ragin’ Cajuns are 2-2 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.6 units so far. The team has recorded an Over-Under mark of 2-1. The Bobcats have lost 3.0 units this season. The team is 1-2-1 ATS and has an even O/U record of 2-2.
The Ragin’ Cajuns are 1-3 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against SBC opponents. The Bobcats are 1-3 SU overall and 0-1 SU in conference play.
These two programs faced off last year with the final outcome being a 24-7 win for Louisiana.
The Ragin’ Cajuns are looking to get back on track after a 56-14 loss to Alabama last week. The Ragin’ Cajuns defense allowed the Crimson Tide to pass for 340 yards and four touchdowns while rushing for 268 yards and three scores. On the offense, the Ragin’ Cajuns completed 11-of-20 passes for 88 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Andre Nunez went nine-for-15 for 75 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions while Levi Lewis completed two-of-five for 13 yards. Trey Ragas (111 yards on 16 rushes, one TD) and Elijah Mitchell (85 yards on 11 carries) spearheaded the running attack while Ryheem Malone (four receptions, 20 yards) and Ja’Marcus Bradley (three catches, 24 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Texas State just fell 25-21 to UTSA a couple of weeks ago. Tyler Vitt completed 15-of-22 passes for 192 yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions. Vitt (11 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) spearheaded the running game while Keenen Brown (nine receptions, 124 yards, one TD) and Hutch White (three catches, 29 yards, one TD) led all Texas State pass-catchers in the loss.
Looking at offensive play-calling, each of these squads has a similar (57-43) run-pass ratio on the season. Having said that, the Ragin’ Cajuns have produced 205 rush yards/game and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Bobcats haven’t been quite as successful, as they’re logging 140 rushing yards per game and have four total rush TDs.
The Ragin’ Cajuns offensive scheme has averaged 179 yards through the air overall and has seven passing scores so far. The Bobcats have recorded 194 pass yards per game and have five total pass TDs.
Defensively, Louisiana has let opponents rush for an average of 264 yards and throw for 240 yards per game. The Texas State D has allowed 228.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 128.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Bobcats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.35 to opponents, while the Ragin’ Cajuns have given up a staggering 10.94 ANY/A.
Offensively, Nunez has put up 483 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 74 percent of his 66 attempts with four scores through the air and three interceptions. He has a 5.35 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.76 over the past two outings.
In the other locker room, Willie Jones III has completed 25-of-50 passes for 312 yards, one TD and one INT. Jones III’s ANY/A sits at 4.18 for the season and 4.69 across his last two outings.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Prediction: Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns vs. Texas State Bobcats
SU Winner – Louisiana, ATS Winner – Louisiana, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Ragin’ Cajuns offense has tallied two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Bobcats have put up four such plays.
Both teams have allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Louisiana defense has given up eight pass plays of 30+ yards while Texas State has given up six such plays.
The Louisiana offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Texas State has created five such runs.
The Ragin’ Cajuns defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Bobcats have given up two such runs.
The Louisiana D has three times as many sacks as Texas State this year (nine versus three).
Louisiana has produced 5.29473684210526 yards per carry across its last three games and 6.3 over its last two.
Texas State has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.4 over its past two.
Over its last three contests, Texas State is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Louisiana was favored by 48 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 69. The over cashed and Louisiana did not cover in the 56-14 loss to Alabama.
In its last three matches, Louisiana is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Texas State was favored by 8 points in its previous game and the Over/Under was set at 48.5. The under cashed and Texas State failed to cover in the team’s 25-21 loss to UTSA.
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