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Louisville Cardinals vs. Boston College Eagles: 10/13/2018 Betting Free Pick

The Louisville Cardinals and Boston College Eagles will collide on the turf at Alumni Stadium. This afternoon game is scheduled to kick off at 12:30 p.m. ET and CHSS has the TV rights.

Louisville Cardinals at Boston College Eagles Betting Preview

In this Saturday Atlantic Coast game, Boston College has been projected as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 14 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to lay down $600 to win $100 back on the Eagles (-600). The Cardinals are getting +425 moneyline odds. Based on how it’s shaping up, there should be multiple good in-game betting opportunities in this showdown.

The line initially opened at -15 and general public has been hammering the Cardinals.

The Cardinals are 1-5 against the spread (ATS) and are down 3.0 units so far. The team’s posted an O/U record of 3-3. The Eagles have lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-2 ATS and own an O/U record of 4-2.

The Cardinals are just 2-4 straight up (SU), including 0-3 SU against conference opponents. The Eagles are 4-2 SU overall and 1-1 SU in conference play.

The Cards are most-recently on the rebound after a 66-31 defeat to Georgia Tech last week where the Cardinals completed 27-of-44 passes for 370 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Jawon Pass went 23-for-35 for 299 yards and two touchdowns while Jordan Travis completed four-of-nine for 71 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. Trey Smith (32 yards on five rushes, one TD) provided the ground attack in the loss while Hall (four receptions, 33 yards) and Chatarius Atwell (four catches, 79 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties.

Back on October 6, North Carolina State knocked off this Boston College crew by a score of 28-23. The Eagles defense allowed the Wolfpack to pass for 308 yards and two touchdowns while rushing for 225 yards and two scores. Kelvin Harmon had a solid outing in the win for North Carolina State, accounting for 128 yards on nine catches. For Boston College, Anthony Brown completed 14-of-25 passes for 198 yards and one touchdown. Ben Glines (90 rushing yards on 16 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack in the defeat as Kobay White (four receptions, 46 yards) and Michael Walker (three catches, 72 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

Louisville has run the ball on 49.1 percent of its offensive plays this year, including 43.5 percent across possessions in conference play. Boston College has a run percentage of 63.7 percent, and has rushed the ball 58.0 percent of the time against ACC opponents. The Cardinals have produced 119 rush yards per game (including 98 per game versus Atlantic Coast opponents) and have six touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Eagles are averaging 223 rushing yards per game (170 in conference) and have 13 total rush TDs.

If the results so far this season are any indication, then it seems like the Eagles may hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game, as their running backs has logged 4.8 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.7 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Cardinals have rushed for 3.7 yards per carry while allowing 5.1 YPC to opponents.

The Cards offensive scheme has averaged 221 yards in the air overall (275 per game against conference opposition) and has eight passing TDs so far. The Eagles have produced 228 pass yards per contest (251.0 against ACC competition) and have 18 total pass scores.

Louisville seems to have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s let opponents rush for an average of 231 yards and pass for 183 yards per game. The Boston College defense has allowed 232.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 164.0 yards per game to opposing runners. The Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.37 to opponents, while the Cardinals have given up an 8.35 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Pass has amassed 753 yards this year, and has completed 55 percent of his 110 attempts with four scores through the air and five interceptions. He has a 4.75 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 6.51 over the past two outings.

Jaylen Smith, Chatarius Atwell and Hassan Hall have collectively accounted for 392 total yards and two touchdowns over the last two outings.

Anthony Brown has connected on 60-of-100 passes for 920 yards, 11 TDs and four INTs for Boston College. His ANY/A stands at 8.37 for the season and 5.92 over his past two games.

Ben Glines, AJ Dillon and Michael Walker have combined for 481 total yards and five touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.

When these two squads faced one another a year ago, Boston College won by a field goal 45-42.

RELATED: Week 7 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

NCAA Prediction: Louisville Cardinals vs. Boston College Eagles

SU Winner – Boston College, ATS Winner – Boston College

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Notes

Team Betting Trends

The Boston College defense has registered three times as many sacks as Louisville this season (18 to six).

Both teams have lost five fumbles this year.

Both passing attacks have produced four pass plays of 40+ yards. The Cardinals have have made nine pass plays of 30+ yards while the Eagles have created 11 such plays.

The Louisville defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Boston College has given up two such plays.

The Louisville offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Boston College has created 16 such runs.

The Cardinals defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Eagles have given up five such runs.

Boston College was favored by 6 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 60. The under cashed and Boston College failed to cover in that 28-23 defeat to North Carolina State.

In its last three matches, Boston College is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

Over its last three games, Louisville is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

Louisville was getting 6 points in its last game and the O/U was set at 56.5. The over cashed and Louisville was not able to cover in the 66-31 defeat to Georgia Tech.

Louisville has averaged 3.26666666666667 yards per carry across its past three games and 3.7 over its last two.

Boston College has averaged 3.8 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its past two.

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Written by GMS Previews

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