Expect a low-scoring game when the LSU Tigers (13-8) and Auburn Tigers (9-11) collide at Auburn Arena. Action begins at 7:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Feb. 2 and can be seen on SEC and ES3.
The Tigers are hoping to rebound after their 74-63 loss to Oklahoma State on Saturday. Despite the loss, Tyler Harris earned his eighth double-double this season with 16 points and 11 rebounds. The Tigers, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their close 77-75 loss against Oklahoma on Saturday. Tim Quarterman had a team-high 18 points.
LSU takes on Auburn as a five-point favorite. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is sitting at 161 points. The Tigers have gone 9-11 Straight Up (SU) and 8-11 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last 10 games, they have only managed a record of 3-7 ATS. The Tigers have seen a decline in scoring as of late, averaging 68.4 points during the last 10 games compared to their season average of 74.5 points per game. The Tigers are one of the best in Division I in terms of three-point field goals, making 9.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.
As for their opponent, the Tigers have been a poor bet so far, with a disappointing record of 6-13 ATS. Their SU record, 13-8, hasn’t been quite as bad. LSU has not performed well ATS during its last 10 games, earning a 3-7 record. Offensively, they average 81.0 points per game, which is good for 30th in the country. The Tigers are an unselfish team with an average of 16.0 assists per game, ranking 38th in Division I. Moving on to the LSU defense, the Tigers are a terror in the passing lanes, averaging an impressive 7.8 steals per game.
These conference foes meet for what will be their first head-to-head battle of the season. LSU won the last game in the matchup, but the win was not enough to overtake Auburn in their recent head-to-head series. Its record is now 4-6 SU over the most recent meetings. Furthermore, Auburn holds the advantage ATS with a record of 8-2. During their latest five matchups, neither team ever held the advantage in field goals, rebounds, or three-pointers.
Predictions: SU Winner – LSU, ATS Winner – LSU, O/U – Over
Notes
Auburn is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Auburn’s last 8 games.
Auburn is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Auburn’s last 19 games at home.
Auburn is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Auburn’s last 10 games when playing LSU.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn’s last 5 games when playing at home against LSU.
LSU sits at 6-2 SU against the conference, while Auburn is 3-5 SU.
Auburn scores 82.1 points per home game (ranked 65th). LSU ranks a poor 261st in points allowed on the road, allowing 78.8 points.
In its last game, LSU lost by a margin of two points. Auburn is 2-0 in games decided by a margin of three points or less. LSU has a 2-2 record in close games.
With 72.6 possessions and 1.026 points per possession, the Auburn Tigers perform worse on both metrics than the LSU Tigers. LSU averages 73.3 possessions and 1.105 points per possession.
Auburn has an average effective field goal percentage of 49.4%. LSU is a solid 8-4 when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.
On average, Auburn attempts 26.0 three pointers and LSU attempts 18.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Auburn Tigers have an 8-11 record while the LSU Tigers have a poor 3-6 record.
LSU ranks 48th in the nation with an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.31. Auburn is ranked lower at 289th with an A/TO of .89.
Auburn ranks 140th in offensive rebounds, while LSU ranks 53rd in defensive rebounds.
Auburn has forced an average turnover percentage of 18.9% this season. LSU has an underachieving 1-5 record when its TO% is 18.9% or higher.
