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LSU Tigers – Texas A&M Aggies Preview – 01.19.2016

The No. 10-ranked Texas A&M Aggies (15-2) look to extend their eight-game winning streak when they match up with the LSU Tigers (11-6) at Reed Arena. The game starts at 9:00 pm ET on Tuesday, Jan. 19 and will air on ESP and ES3.

The Aggies won big over Georgia 79-45 on Saturday. Alex Caruso was the game’s high scorer with 12 points on 5-for-6 shooting. The Tigers are coming off a 76-74 win over Arkansas on Saturday. Craig Victor had a good game, accumulating 16 points and 12 rebounds to claim his second double-double of the season.

Over the last five games, Jalen Jones has really been playing well for the Aggies. During that stretch, he has averaged 20.8 points, 8.0 rebounds, 1.2 steals, 0.6 blocks, and 1.6 three-pointers.

Texas A&M, a nine-point favorite, will look to capitalize at home against LSU. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is 153 points. The Aggies are attempting to build on their records of 15-2 Straight Up (SU) and 6-4-2 Against The Spread (ATS). The Aggies are an impressive shooting team from three-point range with a .385 three-point field goal percentage, one of the highest marks in Division I. Teams have a tough time keeping Texas A&M off of the offensive glass. They rank 43rd in Division I in offensive rebounds. Few teams in the nation have a higher assist-to-turnover ratio than Texas A&M, which ranks 20th at 1.55. Turning to the defensive side, the Aggies are the 43rd-best team in the country at taking the ball away from their opponents, averaging 7.9 steals per game.

On the other side, the Tigers haven’t fared well ATS, sitting at 5-10. However, they are 11-6 SU. Defenses have a tough time accounting for every player when up against the Tigers, who are known for distributing the ball with 16.7 assists per game.

This game marks the first time these teams will play this season. The last time Texas A&M and LSU played, Texas A&M won, evening up the two teams’ head-to-head record over their most recent games (5-5). However, Texas A&M leads the matchup ATS with a record of 6-4. Both Texas A&M and LSU have led in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) once over the last five matchups.

Predictions: SU Winner – TexA&M, ATS Winner – TexA&M, O/U – Over

Notes

Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M’s last 6 games.

Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M’s last 6 games when playing LSU.

Texas A&M is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against LSU.

Texas A&M averages 79.5 points per game (ranked 59th). LSU, on the other hand, allows 75.7 points per game (ranked 269th).

Texas A&M scores 83.5 points per home game (ranked 62nd). LSU ranks a poor 297th in points allowed on the road, allowing 81.5 points.

In its last game, Texas A&M won by a margin of 34 points. LSU is 5-0 in games decided by a margin of 18 points or more. Texas A&M has an 8-0 record in blowouts.

Ranked 25th, the Texas A&M Aggies have an offensive rating of 115.7. The LSU Tigers rank 160th with a defensive rating of just 101.5.

The LSU Tigers average 74.1 possessions per game and 1.118 points per possession. The Texas A&M Aggies earn fewer possessions with 68.7, but they score more points with 1.157.

LSU has an average effective field goal percentage of 52.4%. Texas A&M is undefeated (4-0) when opponents have a similar or higher effective field goal percentage.

On average, Texas A&M attempts 22.0 three pointers and LSU attempts 18.0. In games where they have 20 or more three point attempts, the Texas A&M Aggies have an outstanding 11-2 record while the LSU Tigers have a poor 3-5 record.

The 20th-ranked team in the category, Texas A&M has an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.55 this season. LSU ranks 35th with an A/TO of 1.40.

Texas A&M and LSU are well matched when it comes to rebounding. Texas A&M ranks 43rd in offensive rebounds, while LSU ranks 43rd in defensive rebounds.

Texas A&M is one of the top teams in forced turnovers, with opponents averaging a TO% of 23.3% (ranked 17th). LSU is winless this season (0-2 SU) when its TO% reaches 23.3% or greater.

Written by GMS Previews

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