The LSU Tigers (11-3, 1-0 SEC) visit Arkansas to take on the Razorbacks (10-4, 1-1 SEC) in a matchup that pits sensational offense against exceptional defense. The game starts at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, January 12, 2019, and will air on SEC Network.
LSU Tigers at Arkansas Razorbacks ATS Prediction
In the Tigers’ last game, they topped the Alabama Crimson Tide, 88-79. LSU’s 0.579 effective field goal percentage was their largest strength over Alabama, who had a mark of 0.460. The Tigers’ mark was above their season average of 0.551, while the Crimson Tide’s was below their season average of 0.520. LSU was led by Kavell Bigby-Williams, who put up 14 points, 13 rebounds and five blocks.
The Razorbacks were beaten by the Florida Gators in their last game, 57-51. Florida’s 15.3 turnover percentage was their biggest advantage over Arkansas, who had a rate of 20.7. The Gators’ mark was better than their season average of 15.5, while the Razorbacks’ was above their season average of 15.0. Mason Jones had a good game for Arkansas, leading both teams in scoring with 30 points on 7-for-13 shooting.
After the Tigers won both contests against the Razorbacks last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the most recent game, LSU won 94-86. LSU did a terrific job of making free throws (21-23; 91.3 percent). Arkansas, meanwhile, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (41.4 vs. 30.8).
The aggressive Arkansas offense might be living from the free throw line in this showdown. The Razorbacks rank 77th in the nation with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.273, while LSU ranks 236th in FTA rate allowed (0.246). Furthermore, the Tigers’ 40th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 114.2) will battle against the Razorbacks’ 60th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 94.4).
LSU vs. Arkansas ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – Arkansas, ATS Winner – Arkansas, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
LSU ranks 55th in rebounds allowed per game (32.6) while Arkansas ranks 234th (39.7).
The Tigers rank 134th in three pointers allowed per game (22.6) while the Razorbacks rank 234th (26.4).
Arkansas ranks 40th in steals per game (8.1) while LSU ranks 129th in steals allowed per game (7.0).
The Razorbacks rank 16th in assists per game (17.4) while the Tigers rank 84th (14.6).
Arkansas averages 5.9 blocks per game, which is ranked fifth in the country. LSU ranks 45th in blocks allowed per game (2.7).
Bettings Trends:
The Tigers’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.4, down from 10.6 for the season.
During their last five games, the Razorbacks have scored an average of 67.6 points per game (11.4 below their season average) and allowed an average of 66.4 points per game (3.0 below their season average).
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