Two teams that prefer to mix in a lot of running plays, Coach Ed Orgeron and the No. 8 LSU Tigers (+3) are gearing up to take on the Texas A&M Aggies (-3) at Kyle Field. This pivotal conference game is scheduled to get underway at 7:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to SEC Network.
LSU Tigers at Texas A&M Aggies Betting Preview
LSU is a live dog and is currently getting 3 points in this Saturday SEC game. The Tigers are also receiving +120 moneyline odds while the Aggies are -140. If one team can create a bunch of points early it would produce a reasonable betting opportunity in-game. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 47 points.
This game’s line opened at -2, while the total hasn’t moved since it opened at 47.
Both of these teams have been profitable this season as the Tigers have gained 8.4 units while the Aggies are up 1.9 units.
The Tigers are 9-2 straight up (SU), including 5-2 SU against SEC opponents. The Aggies are 7-4 SU overall and 4-3 SU in conference play.
These two schools met last year with the final result being a 45-21 win for LSU.
Each team enters this matchup on a two-game undefeated streak. The Tigers are looking to maintain momentum after a solid 42-10 win over Rice last week. The Tigers allowed the Owls to pass for 101 yards and run for 97 yards. On the offensive side of the ball, the Tigers completed 24-of-34 passes for 372 yards and two touchdowns. Joe Burrow went 20-for-28 for 307 yards and two touchdowns while Myles Brennan completed four-of-six for 65 yards. Nick Brossette (69 rushing yards on 14 attempts, two TDs) led the running attack while Foster Moreau (five receptions, 73 yards, one TD) and Derrick Dillon (five catches, 31 yards) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Texas A&M just got a 41-20 win over UAB. Kellen Mond completed 11-of-20 passes for 192 yards and two touchdowns. Trayveon Williams (167 rushing yards on 20 attempts, two TDs) handled the running attack as Jace Sternberger (four receptions, 85 yards, two TDs) and Jhamon Ausbon (two catches, 26 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
LSU has run the ball on 59.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas A&M has a rush percentage of 55.1 percent. The Tigers have produced 171 rush yards per game (including 163 per game against Southeastern opponents) and have 25 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Aggies are logging 201 rush yards per game (158 in conference) and have 20 total rushing TDs.
If 2018 numbers are any indication, then it seems like the Aggies could own the edge when it comes to RB efficiency, as their running backs has logged 4.9 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.0 to opponents. The Tigers have rushed for 4.1 yards per carry while allowing 3.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Tigers offense has averaged 209 yards through the air overall (206 per game versus conference opposition) and has nine passing TDs so far. The Aggies have recorded 260 pass yards per contest (247.3 in the SEC) and have 18 total pass scores.
Defensively, LSU seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 131 yards and throw for 199 yards per game. The Texas A&M D has given up 261.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 80.8 yards per game to opposing runners. The Tigers are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.82 to opponents, while the Aggies have given up an 8.05 ANY/A.
Passing-wise, Burrow has put up 2,035 yards this year, and has completed 55 percent of his 286 attempts with eight passing scores and four interceptions. He has a 6.08 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 10.15 over the last two outings.
As a group, Justin Jefferson, Nick Brossette and Stephen Sullivan have collectively accounted for 426 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns over the last couple of outings.
On the other sideline, Kellen Mond has managed to complete 182-of-312 passes for 2,444 yards, 14 TDs and seven INTs. Mond’s ANY/A sits at 6.47 for the year and 9.44 over his past two outings.
Similar to the Tigers, expect a balanced attack offensively from Texas A&M this Saturday. As a trio, Trayveon Williams, Jace Sternberger and Jhamon Ausbon have combined for 671 total yards and five touchdowns over the last two games.
Betting Pick: LSU Tigers vs. Texas A&M Aggies
SU Winner – Texas A&M, ATS Winner – Texas A&M, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes
LSU has averaged 3.3 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.1 over its last two.
Texas A&M has averaged 5.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 6.3 over its past two.
Texas A&M has lost eight fumbles this season while LSU has let six get away.
LSU has won five of its last six games SU, with a 29-point defeat to Alabama on November 3rd representing the only loss over that span.
The Tigers offense has tallied seven pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Aggies have put up four such plays.
The LSU defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Texas A&M has given up 15 such plays.
The LSU offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Texas A&M has created 20 such runs.
The Tigers defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Aggies have given up eight such runs.
The Texas A&M defensive unit has sacked opposing quarterbacks 29 times this year. LSU has produced 27 sacks.
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