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Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles: College Football ATS Pick

Dec 16, 2017; Albuquerque, NM, USA; Marshall Thundering Herd running back Keion Davis (24) celebrates a touchdown with wide receiver Tyre Brady (8) during the first half against the Colorado State Rams in the 2017 New Mexico Bowl at Dreamstyle Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The Marshall Thundering Herd (-3) are set to take on their in-conference counterpart Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Carlisle-Faulkner Field at M.M. Roberts Stadium. This daytime game is scheduled to start at 3:00 p.m. ET and STAD,FCBK will televise the action.

Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles Betting Preview

Southern Miss is a live dog and is currently getting 3 points in this CUSA game. The Thundering Herd are also receiving -155 moneyline odds while the Golden Eagles are +135. Multiple good in-game betting scenarios could be unveiled during the matchup, and oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 44.5 points.

This game’s opening line was 3.5. The total has not moved after it was set initially at 44.5.

The Thundering Herd have recorded 1.6 units so far in 2018 and are 3-4 against the spread (ATS). The team’s recorded an Over-Under mark of 4-3. The Golden Eagles have lost 3.8 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-4.

The Thundering Herd have gone 5-2 straight up (SU), including 3-1 SU against conference opponents. The Golden Eagles are 3-4 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play.

The Thundering Herd are coming off a resounding 31-7 win over Florida Atlantic on October 20. The Thundering Herd defense allowed the Owls to run for 119 yards on 37 rush attempts. On the offense, Alex Thomson completed just 13 passes on 24 attempts for 102 yards and two touchdowns. Tyler King (125 yards on 21 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Thomson (50 yards on 16 carries, one TD) led the ground attack. Tyre Brady (five receptions, 41 yards) and Armani Levias (three catches, 47 yards, two TDs) shared the receiving duties in the win.

Southern Miss narrowly fell 20-17 to Charlotte. As a group, the Golden Eagles collectively completed 27-of-39 passes for 297 yards, two touchdowns and three interceptions. Jack Abraham went 21-for-30 for 210 yards and three interceptions while Tate Whatley was six-of-eight for 87 yards and two touchdowns. Trivenskey Mosley (37 rushing yards on 10 attempts) mounted the running attack as De’Michael Harris (seven receptions, 62 yards, one TD) and Quez Watkins (five catches, 35 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Marshall has run the ball on 52.0 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Southern Miss has a rush percentage of 46.7 percent. The Thundering Herd have rushed for 170 yards per game (including 219 per game against Conference USA opponents) and have 12 scores on the ground this year. The Golden Eagles are logging 120 rush yards per game (134 in conference) and have four total rushing TDs.

If the results so far this season are any indication, then it seems like the Thundering Herd should hold an advantage when it comes to RB efficiency. Their backfield has logged 4.4 yards per carry while their defense is allowing 3.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Golden Eagles have ran for 3.5 yards per carry and allowed 4.0 yards per rush attempt to opponents.

The Thundering Herd offense has averaged 224 yards through the air overall (186 per game versus conference opposition) and has 13 passing TDs so far. The Golden Eagles have recorded 308 pass yards per game (327.8 in the CUSA) and have 15 total pass scores.

Defensively, Marshall has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 106 yards and throw for 271 yards per game. The Southern Miss defense has allowed 164.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 123.7 yards per game to opposing runners. The Golden Eagles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 4.53 to opposing QBs, while the Thundering Herd have given up a 5.19 ANY/A.

Offensively, Thomson is up to 275 passing yards this year, and has completed 30-of-58 attempts with four passing scores and one interception. Thomson has a 3.61 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 4.77 over the last two outings.

In the other locker room, Jack Abraham has managed to complete 157-of-223 passes for 1,791 yards, 12 TDs and nine INTs. Abraham’s ANY/A stands at 6.22 for the season and 4.27 over his past two outings.

When these two squads faced one another last year, Southern Miss earned the win 28-27.

RELATED: Week 10 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

Betting Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles

SU Winner – Southern Miss, ATS Winner – Southern Miss, O/U – Over

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Team Betting Notes

The Over/Under for Marshall’s last game was 60.5. The under cashed in the team’s 31-7 win over Florida Atlantic.

As a team, Marshall has averaged 5.2 yards per rush attempt over its past three outings and 5.9 over its last two.

Southern Miss has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.3 over its past two.

Both teams have lost seven fumbles this year.

In its last three matches, Marshall is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The Over/Under for Southern Miss’ last game was set at 45. The under cashed in the team’s 20-17 loss to Charlotte.

In its last three games, Southern Miss is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Thundering Herd offense has registered three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Golden Eagles have put up nine such plays.

Both teams have allowed four pass plays of 40 or more yards. The Marshall defense has given up 10 pass plays of 30+ yards while Southern Miss has given up seven such plays.

The Marshall offense has created 10 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Southern Miss has created four such runs.

The Thundering Herd defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 yards or more, while the Golden Eagles have given up six such runs.

The Marshall defense has 22 sacks on the year while Southern Miss has just 13.

*****

Written by GMS Previews

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