The Indiana Pacers and Memphis Grizzlies get their seasons underway at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game is scheduled to get underway at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, October 17, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 207 points with Indiana opening as a 6.5-point favorite.
Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers ATS Prediction
Last season, Indiana went 48-34 in the regular season, which earned them the five seed in the Eastern Conference. They lost in the First Round to the Cleveland Cavaliers in seven games. Memphis, meanwhile, did not make the playoffs following a 22-60 regular season.
Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the league’s slowest-paced teams square off. Indiana ranked 27th in possessions per game (97.6) and Memphis was 29th (97.0) last season. It could also be a mistake-prone game for the offense of the Grizzlies, which ranked 28th in ball security (turnover percentage of 14.9 percent). They’ll be going up against the top-notch defense of the Pacers, which forced the second-most turnovers in the NBA (15.1 percent).
The Grizzlies were 22-60 straight up (SU) and 43-45 against the spread (ATS) last season. Of Memphis’ 88 games that accepted bets last year, 45 finished over the projected point total.
On the other side, the Pacers were 48-34 SU and 41-43-2 ATS last season. Games involving Indiana also had a slight tendency to finish over the projected point total (50.0 percent).
The Pacers won both matchups against the Grizzlies last season. In the most recent contest, Indiana won 105-101. The Pacers had a much better free throw rate (0.300 vs. 0.134) and had a better turnover percentage (14.3 vs. 16.9).
Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers Free Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Indiana is 29-5 when they allow less than 100 points, while Memphis is 13-12.
When scoring above 100 points, the Grizzlies are 17-23 and the Pacers are 40-18.
Indiana ranks fifth in fast break points per game (14.9) while Memphis ranks 27th in fast break points allowed per game (14.3).
The Pacers rank second in points off turnovers per game (18.4) while the Grizzlies rank 21st in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
Indiana ranks second in steals per game (8.7) while Memphis ranks 20th (7.5).
The Pacers rank 12th in points in the paint per game (44.9) while the Grizzlies rank 25th (42.3).
Memphis ranks 15th in blocks per game (4.8) while Indiana ranks 25th (4.0).
The Pacers rank 22nd in rebounds per game (42.2) while the Grizzlies rank 29th (40.5).
Memphis ranks 23rd in three pointers attempted per game (26.2) while Indiana ranks 26th (24.7).
The Pacers rank 23rd in assists per game (22.1) while the Grizzlies rank 26th (21.5).
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