The Indiana Pacers (28-23) go head-to-head with the Memphis Grizzlies (18-31) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse. The game starts at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, January 31, 2018, and will air on Fox Sports – Southeast.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 205 points with Indiana opening as a 6.5-point favorite.
Memphis Grizzlies at Indiana Pacers Betting Prediction
The Grizzlies will be hoping for similar success after topping the Phoenix Suns in their last matchup, 120-109. Memphis had an effective field goal percentage of 0.633 (above their season average of 0.502). Phoenix, on the other hand, did an excellent job of making free throws (26-36; 72.2 percent). With 27 points on 11-for-17 shooting, Tyreke Evans was the top scorer from either team.
In the Pacers’ last matchup, they beat the Charlotte Hornets, 105-96. Indiana’s turnover percentage was their largest strength over Charlotte. The Pacers had a rate of 12.0 (worse than their season average of 11.9), while the Hornets posted a mark of 14.8 (above their season average of 11.3). Victor Oladipo was the game’s leading scorer with 25 points on 11-for-15 shooting.
Indiana appears to have the advantage on the offensive side of the ball. The Pacers rank seventh in offensive efficiency, while the Grizzlies rank 17th in defensive efficiency.
Memphis comes into the contest with records of 18-31 straight up (SU) and 21-26-2 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Grizzlies have a tendency to finish under the projected point total (57.1 percent).
Meanwhile, Indiana owns records of 28-23 SU and 28-23 ATS. Much like Memphis, Pacers games also have typically finished under the projected point total (56.9 percent).
Thaddeus Young has averaged 15.2 points and 2.4 steals over the last five games for Indiana.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. In the first, the Grizzlies lost 116-113, unable to cover as 3-point favorites. Marc Gasol led both teams with 35 points and also added 13 rebounds and five assists. The game finished with a total of 229 points, which was 25.5 points above the projected point total of 203.5 points. The Pacers had a better turnover percentage (11.3 vs. 12.8) and had a better free throw rate (0.212 vs. 0.198).
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Indiana Pacers Odds Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Pacers, ATS Winner – Pacers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, Memphis is 9-11-1 ATS with 10 overs, 10 unders and 1 push.
At home, Indiana is 15-12 ATS with 16 unders, 10 overs and 1 push.
Indiana is 16-2 when they hold opponents under 100 points, while Memphis is 11-9.
The Grizzlies are 13-11 when they score more than 100 points, while the Pacers are 24-10.
Indiana ranks third in fast break points per game (15.0) while Memphis ranks 25th in fast break points allowed per game (13.7).
The Grizzlies rank second in points allowed in the paint per game (40.8) while the Pacers rank 23rd (46.1).
Memphis ranks fifth in blocks per game (5.3) while Indiana ranks 24th (4.1).
The Grizzlies rank 10th in three pointers allowed per game (27.5) while the Pacers rank 25th (30.9).
Indiana ranks 16th in assists per game (22.5) while Memphis ranks 25th (21.0).
The Pacers rank fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.5) while the Grizzlies rank 11th (15.5).
Indiana ranks 21st in rebounds per game (41.7) while Memphis ranks 27th (40.3).
The Pacers rank third in steals allowed per game (7.0) while the Grizzlies rank sixth (7.1).
Betting Trends:
In their last five games, Memphis is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Indiana is 3-2 ATS with 2 overs, 2 unders and 1 push over their last five games.
The Grizzlies’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 4.8, up from 2.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the Pacers have scored an average of 107.4 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 102.0 points per game (3.4 below their season average).